**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the official high for Dallas on July 31, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance aligned tightly on that range after a prolonged heat wave.** A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressed cloud cover and promoted intense solar heating across North Texas, with dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s°F contributing to heat indices near 110°F. NWS forecasts issued on July 31 explicitly called for a high near 104°F under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with climatological norms for late July when Dallas averages around 96-100°F but frequently exceeds 102°F during ridge-dominated patterns. The market-implied 100% probability reflects post-event confirmation from the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport station (KDFW) data, the resolution source. Only an unreported station anomaly or revision in the final climatological report could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are validated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on July 31?
Highest temperature in Dallas on July 31?
102-103°F 100.0%
97°F or below <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$64,148 ปริมาณ
$64,148 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
97°F or below
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 100.0%
97°F or below <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$64,148 ปริมาณ
$64,148 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
97°F or below
$12,640 ปริมาณ
<1%
98-99°F
$9,046 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-101°F
$14,781 ปริมาณ
<1%
102-103°F
$9,036 ปริมาณ
100%
104-105°F
$6,839 ปริมาณ
<1%
106-107°F
$4,943 ปริมาณ
<1%
108-109°F
$4,073 ปริมาณ
<1%
110-111°F
$1,285 ปริมาณ
<1%
112-113°F
$785 ปริมาณ
<1%
114-115°F
$363 ปริมาณ
<1%
116°F or higher
$358 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the official high for Dallas on July 31, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance aligned tightly on that range after a prolonged heat wave.** A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressed cloud cover and promoted intense solar heating across North Texas, with dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s°F contributing to heat indices near 110°F. NWS forecasts issued on July 31 explicitly called for a high near 104°F under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with climatological norms for late July when Dallas averages around 96-100°F but frequently exceeds 102°F during ridge-dominated patterns. The market-implied 100% probability reflects post-event confirmation from the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport station (KDFW) data, the resolution source. Only an unreported station anomaly or revision in the final climatological report could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,148วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the official high for Dallas on July 31, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance aligned tightly on that range after a prolonged heat wave.** A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressed cloud cover and promoted intense solar heating across North Texas, with dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s°F contributing to heat indices near 110°F. NWS forecasts issued on July 31 explicitly called for a high near 104°F under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with climatological norms for late July when Dallas averages around 96-100°F but frequently exceeds 102°F during ridge-dominated patterns. The market-implied 100% probability reflects post-event confirmation from the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport station (KDFW) data, the resolution source. Only an unreported station anomaly or revision in the final climatological report could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are validated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,148วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus has converged on 102-103°F as the official high for Dallas on July 31, 2026, because National Weather Service observations and model guidance aligned tightly on that range after a prolonged heat wave.** A strong subtropical high-pressure ridge suppressed cloud cover and promoted intense solar heating across North Texas, with dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s°F contributing to heat indices near 110°F. NWS forecasts issued on July 31 explicitly called for a high near 104°F under mostly sunny conditions, consistent with climatological norms for late July when Dallas averages around 96-100°F but frequently exceeds 102°F during ridge-dominated patterns. The market-implied 100% probability reflects post-event confirmation from the Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport station (KDFW) data, the resolution source. Only an unreported station anomaly or revision in the final climatological report could realistically alter the outcome, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary observations are validated.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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