Trader consensus at near-100% for an 84-85°F high on July 31, 2026, in New York City reflects National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirming that exact range, consistent with late-July climatology and short-range model guidance showing no significant heat advection or subsidence. Regional conditions featured moderate onshore flow and partly cloudy skies that capped afternoon temperatures near seasonal normals of 83-86°F, without the heat dome patterns seen earlier in the month. This outcome aligns with NOAA’s daily climatological report criteria, leaving minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or station differences. Only an unexpected model bias or unreported microclimate spike above 85°F could have altered resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on July 31?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 31?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$70,980 ปริมาณ
$70,980 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$70,980 ปริมาณ
$70,980 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
75°F or below
$757 ปริมาณ
<1%
76-77°F
$906 ปริมาณ
<1%
78-79°F
$2,167 ปริมาณ
<1%
80-81°F
$7,633 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$8,691 ปริมาณ
<1%
84-85°F
$19,048 ปริมาณ
100%
86-87°F
$12,355 ปริมาณ
<1%
88-89°F
$10,251 ปริมาณ
<1%
90-91°F
$2,586 ปริมาณ
<1%
92-93°F
$2,801 ปริมาณ
<1%
94°F or higher
$3,785 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at near-100% for an 84-85°F high on July 31, 2026, in New York City reflects National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirming that exact range, consistent with late-July climatology and short-range model guidance showing no significant heat advection or subsidence. Regional conditions featured moderate onshore flow and partly cloudy skies that capped afternoon temperatures near seasonal normals of 83-86°F, without the heat dome patterns seen earlier in the month. This outcome aligns with NOAA’s daily climatological report criteria, leaving minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or station differences. Only an unexpected model bias or unreported microclimate spike above 85°F could have altered resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,980วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus at near-100% for an 84-85°F high on July 31, 2026, in New York City reflects National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirming that exact range, consistent with late-July climatology and short-range model guidance showing no significant heat advection or subsidence. Regional conditions featured moderate onshore flow and partly cloudy skies that capped afternoon temperatures near seasonal normals of 83-86°F, without the heat dome patterns seen earlier in the month. This outcome aligns with NOAA’s daily climatological report criteria, leaving minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or station differences. Only an unexpected model bias or unreported microclimate spike above 85°F could have altered resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,980วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus at near-100% for an 84-85°F high on July 31, 2026, in New York City reflects National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirming that exact range, consistent with late-July climatology and short-range model guidance showing no significant heat advection or subsidence. Regional conditions featured moderate onshore flow and partly cloudy skies that capped afternoon temperatures near seasonal normals of 83-86°F, without the heat dome patterns seen earlier in the month. This outcome aligns with NOAA’s daily climatological report criteria, leaving minimal uncertainty from measurement variability or station differences. Only an unexpected model bias or unreported microclimate spike above 85°F could have altered resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย