Persistent high-pressure systems over western Europe are sustaining clear skies, strong solar insolation, and above-normal warmth across the Paris basin, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance converging on daytime maxima of 31–33 °C for August 2. These conditions build on an extended period of summer heat that has kept temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 August climatology of ~25–26 °C. Model spread remains modest, but late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or weak frontal passages could shave a degree or allow brief convective cooling, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 32 °C (46 %) with secondary weight on 31 °C and 33 °C. Updated runs expected from national meteorological services over the next 24 hours will further refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Paris on August 2?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 2?
32°C 46%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
23%
32°C
46%
33°C
23%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 46%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
30°C 6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
$315 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$163 ปริมาณ
2%
30°C
$431 ปริมาณ
6%
31°C
$1,201 ปริมาณ
23%
32°C
$471 ปริมาณ
46%
33°C
$509 ปริมาณ
23%
34°C
$518 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$109 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$116 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C
$152 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$197 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems over western Europe are sustaining clear skies, strong solar insolation, and above-normal warmth across the Paris basin, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance converging on daytime maxima of 31–33 °C for August 2. These conditions build on an extended period of summer heat that has kept temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 August climatology of ~25–26 °C. Model spread remains modest, but late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or weak frontal passages could shave a degree or allow brief convective cooling, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 32 °C (46 %) with secondary weight on 31 °C and 33 °C. Updated runs expected from national meteorological services over the next 24 hours will further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,183วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure systems over western Europe are sustaining clear skies, strong solar insolation, and above-normal warmth across the Paris basin, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance converging on daytime maxima of 31–33 °C for August 2. These conditions build on an extended period of summer heat that has kept temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 August climatology of ~25–26 °C. Model spread remains modest, but late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or weak frontal passages could shave a degree or allow brief convective cooling, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 32 °C (46 %) with secondary weight on 31 °C and 33 °C. Updated runs expected from national meteorological services over the next 24 hours will further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,183วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure systems over western Europe are sustaining clear skies, strong solar insolation, and above-normal warmth across the Paris basin, with Météo-France and ECMWF guidance converging on daytime maxima of 31–33 °C for August 2. These conditions build on an extended period of summer heat that has kept temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 August climatology of ~25–26 °C. Model spread remains modest, but late adjustments in boundary-layer moisture or weak frontal passages could shave a degree or allow brief convective cooling, supporting the market’s tight clustering around 32 °C (46 %) with secondary weight on 31 °C and 33 °C. Updated runs expected from national meteorological services over the next 24 hours will further refine these probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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