Trader consensus heavily favors an 11°C daily maximum in Wellington on August 1 due to established climatological patterns for early winter in the region, where long-term averages place highs near 12°C under typical southerly flow and marine influence. Official outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures for the Wellington area through the June–August period, with recent model guidance showing stable conditions and no strong warm advection or blocking highs that would push readings higher. This aligns with historical data from sources like NIWA and MetService showing limited day-to-day variability around this baseline. A rapid shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted warm sector could realistically elevate the high into the low teens, though current observations and ensemble forecasts provide little support for such deviation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 1?
11°C 98%
12°C 1.9%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
ใหม่
$128,893 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$128,893 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
98%
12°C
2%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 98%
12°C 1.9%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
ใหม่
$128,893 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$128,893 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
5°C or below
$366 ปริมาณ
<1%
6°C
$639 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$3,954 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$12,387 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$21,375 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$44,631 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$18,172 ปริมาณ
98%
12°C
$10,151 ปริมาณ
2%
13°C
$6,404 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$8,416 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C or higher
$2,399 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors an 11°C daily maximum in Wellington on August 1 due to established climatological patterns for early winter in the region, where long-term averages place highs near 12°C under typical southerly flow and marine influence. Official outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures for the Wellington area through the June–August period, with recent model guidance showing stable conditions and no strong warm advection or blocking highs that would push readings higher. This aligns with historical data from sources like NIWA and MetService showing limited day-to-day variability around this baseline. A rapid shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted warm sector could realistically elevate the high into the low teens, though current observations and ensemble forecasts provide little support for such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$128,893วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus heavily favors an 11°C daily maximum in Wellington on August 1 due to established climatological patterns for early winter in the region, where long-term averages place highs near 12°C under typical southerly flow and marine influence. Official outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures for the Wellington area through the June–August period, with recent model guidance showing stable conditions and no strong warm advection or blocking highs that would push readings higher. This aligns with historical data from sources like NIWA and MetService showing limited day-to-day variability around this baseline. A rapid shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted warm sector could realistically elevate the high into the low teens, though current observations and ensemble forecasts provide little support for such deviation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$128,893วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors an 11°C daily maximum in Wellington on August 1 due to established climatological patterns for early winter in the region, where long-term averages place highs near 12°C under typical southerly flow and marine influence. Official outlooks from NIWA indicate near-average temperatures for the Wellington area through the June–August period, with recent model guidance showing stable conditions and no strong warm advection or blocking highs that would push readings higher. This aligns with historical data from sources like NIWA and MetService showing limited day-to-day variability around this baseline. A rapid shift in steering patterns or an unforecasted warm sector could realistically elevate the high into the low teens, though current observations and ensemble forecasts provide little support for such deviation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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