Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those referenced by agencies like AEMET and international ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature near 36°C for Madrid on August 2 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 50% implied probability at 36°C and 34% at 37°C, reflecting consensus around the upper end of typical early-August climatology (historical highs averaging 32–34°C). Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger heat advection or convective cooling that could push values to 38°C or above, while overnight lows near 21°C support daytime peaks in this range. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine any subtle shifts from evolving synoptic patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 2?
36°C 51%
37°C 34%
38°C 7%
35°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
7%
36°C
51%
37°C
34%
38°C
7%
39°C
2%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 51%
37°C 34%
38°C 7%
35°C 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
32°C or below
$187 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$87 ปริมาณ
1%
34°C
$76 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$478 ปริมาณ
7%
36°C
$1,619 ปริมาณ
51%
37°C
$999 ปริมาณ
34%
38°C
$159 ปริมาณ
7%
39°C
$236 ปริมาณ
2%
40°C
$60 ปริมาณ
1%
41°C
$23 ปริมาณ
<1%
42°C or higher
$47 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those referenced by agencies like AEMET and international ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature near 36°C for Madrid on August 2 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 50% implied probability at 36°C and 34% at 37°C, reflecting consensus around the upper end of typical early-August climatology (historical highs averaging 32–34°C). Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger heat advection or convective cooling that could push values to 38°C or above, while overnight lows near 21°C support daytime peaks in this range. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine any subtle shifts from evolving synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,971วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those referenced by agencies like AEMET and international ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature near 36°C for Madrid on August 2 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 50% implied probability at 36°C and 34% at 37°C, reflecting consensus around the upper end of typical early-August climatology (historical highs averaging 32–34°C). Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger heat advection or convective cooling that could push values to 38°C or above, while overnight lows near 21°C support daytime peaks in this range. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine any subtle shifts from evolving synoptic patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$3,971วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term numerical weather prediction models, including those referenced by agencies like AEMET and international ensembles, indicate a maximum temperature near 36°C for Madrid on August 2 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market's leading 50% implied probability at 36°C and 34% at 37°C, reflecting consensus around the upper end of typical early-August climatology (historical highs averaging 32–34°C). Recent model runs show limited spread, with minimal risk of stronger heat advection or convective cooling that could push values to 38°C or above, while overnight lows near 21°C support daytime peaks in this range. Updated guidance expected within 24–48 hours will refine any subtle shifts from evolving synoptic patterns.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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