Seasonal Mediterranean summer conditions, dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, are driving expectations for a Tel Aviv daily maximum near or slightly above the 32°C August climatological average. With the sea surface temperature around 28°C providing only modest coastal moderation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation forecast, models support highs in the 34–36°C range for August 2. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com align with this band, showing no major heatwave or cooling advection to shift probabilities. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% implied probability for 35°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric factors and the narrow uncertainty window one day ahead of resolution, while assigning lower weight to rarer outliers above 37°C absent anomalous warming signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 2?
35°C 57%
36°C 18%
34°C 17%
37°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
17%
35°C
57%
36°C
18%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 57%
36°C 18%
34°C 17%
37°C 4%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
$320 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$386 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$681 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$3,347 ปริมาณ
17%
35°C
$1,886 ปริมาณ
57%
36°C
$1,003 ปริมาณ
18%
37°C
$459 ปริมาณ
4%
38°C
$58 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$162 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$272 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,201 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal Mediterranean summer conditions, dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, are driving expectations for a Tel Aviv daily maximum near or slightly above the 32°C August climatological average. With the sea surface temperature around 28°C providing only modest coastal moderation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation forecast, models support highs in the 34–36°C range for August 2. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com align with this band, showing no major heatwave or cooling advection to shift probabilities. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% implied probability for 35°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric factors and the narrow uncertainty window one day ahead of resolution, while assigning lower weight to rarer outliers above 37°C absent anomalous warming signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,776วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal Mediterranean summer conditions, dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, are driving expectations for a Tel Aviv daily maximum near or slightly above the 32°C August climatological average. With the sea surface temperature around 28°C providing only modest coastal moderation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation forecast, models support highs in the 34–36°C range for August 2. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com align with this band, showing no major heatwave or cooling advection to shift probabilities. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% implied probability for 35°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric factors and the narrow uncertainty window one day ahead of resolution, while assigning lower weight to rarer outliers above 37°C absent anomalous warming signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$9,776วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal Mediterranean summer conditions, dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, are driving expectations for a Tel Aviv daily maximum near or slightly above the 32°C August climatological average. With the sea surface temperature around 28°C providing only modest coastal moderation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation forecast, models support highs in the 34–36°C range for August 2. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com align with this band, showing no major heatwave or cooling advection to shift probabilities. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% implied probability for 35°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric factors and the narrow uncertainty window one day ahead of resolution, while assigning lower weight to rarer outliers above 37°C absent anomalous warming signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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