Ongoing extreme heat wave conditions across Israel, with official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service highlighting central coastal areas like Tel Aviv at 35–36°C on August 1, represent the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (54.5% implied probability) and 34°C (31.5%). Seasonal August norms average near 31–32°C, but the current multi-day event—expected to peak through August 3—features elevated temperatures and high humidity that support the observed trader consensus. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on coastal maxima, though sea breezes could cap readings at or below 34°C, while any intensification of the synoptic pattern would favor the lower-probability 36°C outcome. Updated IMS briefings and real-time observations will determine final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 1?
35°C 55%
34°C 32%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
ใหม่
$23,484 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,484 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
9%
34°C
32%
35°C
55%
36°C
10%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 55%
34°C 32%
36°C 10%
33°C 9%
ใหม่
$23,484 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$23,484 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
31°C or below
$509 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$879 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$2,381 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$7,264 ปริมาณ
32%
35°C
$3,810 ปริมาณ
55%
36°C
$2,199 ปริมาณ
10%
37°C
$1,180 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$632 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$354 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C
$358 ปริมาณ
<1%
41°C or higher
$3,918 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat wave conditions across Israel, with official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service highlighting central coastal areas like Tel Aviv at 35–36°C on August 1, represent the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (54.5% implied probability) and 34°C (31.5%). Seasonal August norms average near 31–32°C, but the current multi-day event—expected to peak through August 3—features elevated temperatures and high humidity that support the observed trader consensus. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on coastal maxima, though sea breezes could cap readings at or below 34°C, while any intensification of the synoptic pattern would favor the lower-probability 36°C outcome. Updated IMS briefings and real-time observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,484วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing extreme heat wave conditions across Israel, with official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service highlighting central coastal areas like Tel Aviv at 35–36°C on August 1, represent the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (54.5% implied probability) and 34°C (31.5%). Seasonal August norms average near 31–32°C, but the current multi-day event—expected to peak through August 3—features elevated temperatures and high humidity that support the observed trader consensus. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on coastal maxima, though sea breezes could cap readings at or below 34°C, while any intensification of the synoptic pattern would favor the lower-probability 36°C outcome. Updated IMS briefings and real-time observations will determine final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,484วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing extreme heat wave conditions across Israel, with official forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service highlighting central coastal areas like Tel Aviv at 35–36°C on August 1, represent the main driver behind the market’s heavy weighting toward 35°C (54.5% implied probability) and 34°C (31.5%). Seasonal August norms average near 31–32°C, but the current multi-day event—expected to peak through August 3—features elevated temperatures and high humidity that support the observed trader consensus. Model guidance shows limited disagreement on coastal maxima, though sea breezes could cap readings at or below 34°C, while any intensification of the synoptic pattern would favor the lower-probability 36°C outcome. Updated IMS briefings and real-time observations will determine final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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