Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 31?
23°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$69,789 ปริมาณ
$69,789 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$69,789 ปริมาณ
$69,789 ปริมาณ
Jul 31, 2026
22°C or below
$7,532 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$19,201 ปริมาณ
100%
24°C
$11,266 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$17,295 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$4,322 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$6,380 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,001 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$599 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$374 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$374 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$1,445 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,789วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$69,789วันสิ้นสุด
Jul 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 23°C on July 31, 2026, aligning precisely with the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. This reading reflects standard automatic weather station data at reference sites such as the Hong Kong Park, consistent with regional patterns of nocturnal cooling under high humidity and light winds typical of late July. Historical climatology shows average overnight lows near 26–28°C during this period, yet localized conditions including cloud cover and urban heat island effects can produce modest deviations of 2–3°C. Scenarios that could have altered the result, such as stronger monsoon surges or measurement revisions at multiple stations, did not materialize before the daily minimum was finalized.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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