The Met Office forecast for London on August 2, 2026, currently indicates a maximum of 27°C under building high pressure and above-normal warmth across southern England, directly supporting the market's leading 50.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent long-range guidance from mid-July highlighted a shift toward warmer conditions by early August, consistent with climatological peaks near 21–23°C but elevated by persistent anticyclonic patterns. Shorter-range model consensus favors 26–28°C, with limited upside risk for 29°C+ given stable steering flows and modest uncertainty in peak timing. Traders appear to weigh official observational thresholds and ensemble spread, as fresh model runs in the next 48 hours could refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on August 2?
Highest temperature in London on August 2?
27°C 44%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
25°C 4%
ใหม่
$17,490 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,490 ปริมาณ
Aug 2, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
27%
27°C
44%
28°C
21%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 44%
26°C 27%
28°C 21%
25°C 4%
ใหม่
$17,490 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$17,490 ปริมาณ
Aug 2, 2026
22°C or below
$466 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$488 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$1,547 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$2,504 ปริมาณ
4%
26°C
$4,241 ปริมาณ
27%
27°C
$3,286 ปริมาณ
44%
28°C
$1,076 ปริมาณ
21%
29°C
$1,627 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C
$1,430 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$523 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$301 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Met Office forecast for London on August 2, 2026, currently indicates a maximum of 27°C under building high pressure and above-normal warmth across southern England, directly supporting the market's leading 50.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent long-range guidance from mid-July highlighted a shift toward warmer conditions by early August, consistent with climatological peaks near 21–23°C but elevated by persistent anticyclonic patterns. Shorter-range model consensus favors 26–28°C, with limited upside risk for 29°C+ given stable steering flows and modest uncertainty in peak timing. Traders appear to weigh official observational thresholds and ensemble spread, as fresh model runs in the next 48 hours could refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,490วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The Met Office forecast for London on August 2, 2026, currently indicates a maximum of 27°C under building high pressure and above-normal warmth across southern England, directly supporting the market's leading 50.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent long-range guidance from mid-July highlighted a shift toward warmer conditions by early August, consistent with climatological peaks near 21–23°C but elevated by persistent anticyclonic patterns. Shorter-range model consensus favors 26–28°C, with limited upside risk for 29°C+ given stable steering flows and modest uncertainty in peak timing. Traders appear to weigh official observational thresholds and ensemble spread, as fresh model runs in the next 48 hours could refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$17,490วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Met Office forecast for London on August 2, 2026, currently indicates a maximum of 27°C under building high pressure and above-normal warmth across southern England, directly supporting the market's leading 50.5% implied probability for that outcome. Recent long-range guidance from mid-July highlighted a shift toward warmer conditions by early August, consistent with climatological peaks near 21–23°C but elevated by persistent anticyclonic patterns. Shorter-range model consensus favors 26–28°C, with limited upside risk for 29°C+ given stable steering flows and modest uncertainty in peak timing. Traders appear to weigh official observational thresholds and ensemble spread, as fresh model runs in the next 48 hours could refine resolution criteria for the daily high.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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