Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wellington on August 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 2?
13°C 56%
12°C 34%
14°C 10%
11°C 4%
ใหม่
$15,005 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,005 ปริมาณ
Aug 2, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
34%
13°C
56%
14°C
10%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 34%
14°C 10%
11°C 4%
ใหม่
$15,005 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$15,005 ปริมาณ
Aug 2, 2026
6°C or below
$372 ปริมาณ
<1%
7°C
$382 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$392 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$392 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$1,228 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$2,407 ปริมาณ
4%
12°C
$2,926 ปริมาณ
34%
13°C
$2,757 ปริมาณ
56%
14°C
$2,379 ปริมาณ
10%
15°C
$1,433 ปริมาณ
2%
16°C or higher
$337 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,005วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$15,005วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 2, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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