Persistent Pacific high pressure and JMA seasonal outlooks for above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu anchor trader consensus around 34–35 °C as the most probable daily maximum in Tokyo on 1 August. These conditions favor strong subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and intense solar insolation that rapidly warms the urban boundary layer after sunrise. Tokyo’s pronounced urban heat island—driven by concrete, asphalt, and limited vegetation—typically adds 1–2 °C relative to surrounding areas, while light winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and allow afternoon peaks to reach the mid-30s. Minor forecast differences in timing of peak heating or thin cloud bands separate the narrow 34 °C versus 35 °C outcomes, with 36 °C remaining possible only if advection strengthens further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on August 1?
35°C 38%
34°C 32%
36°C 22%
33°C 9%
ใหม่
$35,797 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$35,797 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
9%
34°C
32%
35°C
38%
36°C
22%
37°C
6%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 38%
34°C 32%
36°C 22%
33°C 9%
ใหม่
$35,797 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$35,797 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
29°C or below
$2,224 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$5,159 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$2,333 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$6,190 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$3,188 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$2,262 ปริมาณ
32%
35°C
$2,635 ปริมาณ
38%
36°C
$2,781 ปริมาณ
22%
37°C
$3,196 ปริมาณ
6%
38°C
$3,526 ปริมาณ
1%
39°C or higher
$2,305 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Pacific high pressure and JMA seasonal outlooks for above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu anchor trader consensus around 34–35 °C as the most probable daily maximum in Tokyo on 1 August. These conditions favor strong subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and intense solar insolation that rapidly warms the urban boundary layer after sunrise. Tokyo’s pronounced urban heat island—driven by concrete, asphalt, and limited vegetation—typically adds 1–2 °C relative to surrounding areas, while light winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and allow afternoon peaks to reach the mid-30s. Minor forecast differences in timing of peak heating or thin cloud bands separate the narrow 34 °C versus 35 °C outcomes, with 36 °C remaining possible only if advection strengthens further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,797วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Pacific high pressure and JMA seasonal outlooks for above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu anchor trader consensus around 34–35 °C as the most probable daily maximum in Tokyo on 1 August. These conditions favor strong subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and intense solar insolation that rapidly warms the urban boundary layer after sunrise. Tokyo’s pronounced urban heat island—driven by concrete, asphalt, and limited vegetation—typically adds 1–2 °C relative to surrounding areas, while light winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and allow afternoon peaks to reach the mid-30s. Minor forecast differences in timing of peak heating or thin cloud bands separate the narrow 34 °C versus 35 °C outcomes, with 36 °C remaining possible only if advection strengthens further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$35,797วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent Pacific high pressure and JMA seasonal outlooks for above-normal summer temperatures across Honshu anchor trader consensus around 34–35 °C as the most probable daily maximum in Tokyo on 1 August. These conditions favor strong subsidence, reduced cloud cover, and intense solar insolation that rapidly warms the urban boundary layer after sunrise. Tokyo’s pronounced urban heat island—driven by concrete, asphalt, and limited vegetation—typically adds 1–2 °C relative to surrounding areas, while light winds and high humidity limit nocturnal cooling and allow afternoon peaks to reach the mid-30s. Minor forecast differences in timing of peak heating or thin cloud bands separate the narrow 34 °C versus 35 °C outcomes, with 36 °C remaining possible only if advection strengthens further.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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