Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Beijing’s August 1 maximum reflects latest ensemble forecasts showing a hot, humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 34–36°C and limited overnight cooling. Official guidance highlights typical early-August conditions, including high moisture content that can suppress or enhance daytime peaks depending on cloud cover and any convective storms. Model spreads remain modest, with most runs clustering in the mid-30s while historical analogs for the date average near 31–32°C. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary Beijing station, leaving room for small shifts if a stronger sea breeze or unexpected shower develops overnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Beijing on August 1?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 1?
35°C 34%
36°C 32%
34°C 18%
37°C 11%
ใหม่
$22,975 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$22,975 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
9%
34°C
18%
35°C
34%
36°C
32%
37°C
11%
38°C or higher
2%
35°C 34%
36°C 32%
34°C 18%
37°C 11%
ใหม่
$22,975 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$22,975 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
28°C or below
$1,381 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,918 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$1,885 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,698 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$2,089 ปริมาณ
3%
33°C
$1,814 ปริมาณ
9%
34°C
$2,089 ปริมาณ
18%
35°C
$1,727 ปริมาณ
34%
36°C
$4,712 ปริมาณ
32%
37°C
$2,126 ปริมาณ
11%
38°C or higher
$534 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Beijing’s August 1 maximum reflects latest ensemble forecasts showing a hot, humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 34–36°C and limited overnight cooling. Official guidance highlights typical early-August conditions, including high moisture content that can suppress or enhance daytime peaks depending on cloud cover and any convective storms. Model spreads remain modest, with most runs clustering in the mid-30s while historical analogs for the date average near 31–32°C. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary Beijing station, leaving room for small shifts if a stronger sea breeze or unexpected shower develops overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,975วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Beijing’s August 1 maximum reflects latest ensemble forecasts showing a hot, humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 34–36°C and limited overnight cooling. Official guidance highlights typical early-August conditions, including high moisture content that can suppress or enhance daytime peaks depending on cloud cover and any convective storms. Model spreads remain modest, with most runs clustering in the mid-30s while historical analogs for the date average near 31–32°C. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary Beijing station, leaving room for small shifts if a stronger sea breeze or unexpected shower develops overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,975วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 35–36°C for Beijing’s August 1 maximum reflects latest ensemble forecasts showing a hot, humid summer pattern with daytime highs near 34–36°C and limited overnight cooling. Official guidance highlights typical early-August conditions, including high moisture content that can suppress or enhance daytime peaks depending on cloud cover and any convective storms. Model spreads remain modest, with most runs clustering in the mid-30s while historical analogs for the date average near 31–32°C. Resolution hinges on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at the primary Beijing station, leaving room for small shifts if a stronger sea breeze or unexpected shower develops overnight.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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