Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Wuhan's peak temperature on August 1 around 34–36°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited daytime cooling. This consensus from official models directly supports the market's leading outcomes at 36°C and 37°C, as traders weigh historical August averages near 34°C against potential localized warming from urban heat-island effects or minor forecast shifts. Incoming model updates or real-time observations near the resolution window could refine these implied probabilities, though current data indicate low likelihood of extremes above 38°C or below 35°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 1?
36°C 47%
37°C 37%
35°C 9%
38°C 7%
ใหม่
$12,492 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,492 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
3%
35°C
9%
36°C
47%
37°C
37%
38°C
7%
39°C
1%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 47%
37°C 37%
35°C 9%
38°C 7%
ใหม่
$12,492 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$12,492 ปริมาณ
Aug 1, 2026
30°C or below
$226 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$660 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$1,351 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$1,160 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$1,656 ปริมาณ
3%
35°C
$1,037 ปริมาณ
9%
36°C
$1,425 ปริมาณ
47%
37°C
$1,288 ปริมาณ
37%
38°C
$1,630 ปริมาณ
7%
39°C
$995 ปริมาณ
1%
40°C or higher
$1,064 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Wuhan's peak temperature on August 1 around 34–36°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited daytime cooling. This consensus from official models directly supports the market's leading outcomes at 36°C and 37°C, as traders weigh historical August averages near 34°C against potential localized warming from urban heat-island effects or minor forecast shifts. Incoming model updates or real-time observations near the resolution window could refine these implied probabilities, though current data indicate low likelihood of extremes above 38°C or below 35°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,492วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Wuhan's peak temperature on August 1 around 34–36°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited daytime cooling. This consensus from official models directly supports the market's leading outcomes at 36°C and 37°C, as traders weigh historical August averages near 34°C against potential localized warming from urban heat-island effects or minor forecast shifts. Incoming model updates or real-time observations near the resolution window could refine these implied probabilities, though current data indicate low likelihood of extremes above 38°C or below 35°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,492วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration place Wuhan's peak temperature on August 1 around 34–36°C under typical late-summer subtropical monsoon conditions, with high humidity and limited daytime cooling. This consensus from official models directly supports the market's leading outcomes at 36°C and 37°C, as traders weigh historical August averages near 34°C against potential localized warming from urban heat-island effects or minor forecast shifts. Incoming model updates or real-time observations near the resolution window could refine these implied probabilities, though current data indicate low likelihood of extremes above 38°C or below 35°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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