**Recent forecasts position 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 31, 2026.** Multiple authoritative sources, including the UK Met Office, GFS-based models, and local reports, indicate daytime maxima near 29–30°C (with peaks briefly reaching or slightly exceeding 30°C), driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity (65–85%), and variable cloud cover that limits intense solar heating. August climatology for Karachi shows typical highs around 30–32°C during the monsoon transition, but recent days have trended slightly cooler (e.g., observed maxima of ~30°C on August 29) amid increased moisture and haze. Model consensus points to similar conditions tomorrow: partly to mostly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and no strong subsidence or clear-sky radiative heating that would push temperatures higher. This explains the heavy market weighting on 30°C (33.5%) and 31°C (44.0%), with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C+ or sub-29°C extremes. Traders are incorporating the latest model runs showing minimal day-to-day change, though final resolution depends on official observations amid typical forecast uncertainty in coastal monsoon regimes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Karachi on August 31?
31°C 44%
30°C 34%
32°C 11%
29°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
34%
31°C
44%
32°C
11%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 44%
30°C 34%
32°C 11%
29°C 10%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
10%
30°C
34%
31°C
44%
32°C
11%
33°C
3%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecasts position 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes for Karachi’s highest temperature on August 31, 2026.** Multiple authoritative sources, including the UK Met Office, GFS-based models, and local reports, indicate daytime maxima near 29–30°C (with peaks briefly reaching or slightly exceeding 30°C), driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity (65–85%), and variable cloud cover that limits intense solar heating. August climatology for Karachi shows typical highs around 30–32°C during the monsoon transition, but recent days have trended slightly cooler (e.g., observed maxima of ~30°C on August 29) amid increased moisture and haze. Model consensus points to similar conditions tomorrow: partly to mostly cloudy skies, moderate winds, and no strong subsidence or clear-sky radiative heating that would push temperatures higher. This explains the heavy market weighting on 30°C (33.5%) and 31°C (44.0%), with lower probabilities assigned to 32°C+ or sub-29°C extremes. Traders are incorporating the latest model runs showing minimal day-to-day change, though final resolution depends on official observations amid typical forecast uncertainty in coastal monsoon regimes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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