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U.S. Election predictions & odds

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Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

16%

Marco Rubio

$629M Vol.

$757K today

$37M Liq.

962

Ends in over 2 years

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

26%

Jordan Bardella

$100M Vol.

$648K today

$10M Liq.

555

Ends in 11 months

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Peru Presidential Election Winner

98%

Keiko Fujimori

$102M Vol.

$538K today

$15M Liq.

14,444

Makerfield by-election Winner

Makerfield by-election Winner

77%

Andy Burnham

$6M Vol.

$504K today

$3M Liq.

106

Ends in 2 days

Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

52%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$100M Vol.

$412K today

$8M Liq.

11,555

Ends in 4 months

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

60%

United Russia (ER)

$11M Vol.

$279K today

$603K Liq.

216

Ends in 3 months

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

88%

Xavier Becerra

$39M Vol.

$206K today

$6M Liq.

86

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

89%

Abelardo de la Espriella

$37M Vol.

$202K today

$4M Liq.

884

Ends in 6 days

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

60%

Karen Bass

$12M Vol.

$125K today

$1M Liq.

140

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory? (0.1% brackets)

94%

Fujimori 0.2–0.3%

$2M Vol.

$93.8K today

$720K Liq.

34

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

76%

Robert Kenyon

$152K Vol.

$168K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 days

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

17%

$3M Vol.

$32.5K Liq.

18

Ends in 5 months

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Margin of Victory

53%

de la Espriella 5-10%

$135K Vol.

$108K Liq.

3

Ends in 7 days

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

California Governor Primary Election: First Place

99%

Xavier Becerra

$879K Vol.

$646K Liq.

10

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá

Colombia Presidential Election Runoff: Most votes from Bogotá

64%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$64.6K Vol.

$52.3K Liq.

Ends in 7 days

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

29%

$26.7K Vol.

$39.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

Peru Election 2nd Round: Margin of Victory?

98%

Fujimori 0–4%

$1M Vol.

$223K Liq.

25

Ukraine election called by...?

Ukraine election called by...?

16%

December 31, 2026

$2M Vol.

$31.3K Liq.

36

Ends in 7 months

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

72%

Eduardo Braide

$8.5K Vol.

$69.8K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner

2026 Aberdeen South By-Election Winner

82%

Richard Gordon Thomson

$14.2K Vol.

$39.4K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like U.S. Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 1533 active markets for U.S. Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Presidential Election Winner 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.0B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Presidential Election Winner 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to Marco Rubio. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on U.S. Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.