Peru's interim government and Ministry of Justice rejected former President Pedro Castillo's formal pardon request in July 2026, with the Presidential Pardons Commission declaring it inadmissible on both ordinary and humanitarian grounds. Castillo remains incarcerated following his November 2025 conviction and 11.5-year sentence for rebellion and conspiracy linked to the 2022 self-coup attempt. The transitional administration has emphasized legal finality ahead of the scheduled elections and offered no signals of commutation or clemency, while officials including the justice minister have described any pardon as impossible under current conditions. These confirmed actions and institutional positions underpin traders' consensus that a pardon is unlikely to occur before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
14% chance
$43,022 Vol.
$43,022 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
14% chance
$43,022 Vol.
$43,022 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's interim government and Ministry of Justice rejected former President Pedro Castillo's formal pardon request in July 2026, with the Presidential Pardons Commission declaring it inadmissible on both ordinary and humanitarian grounds. Castillo remains incarcerated following his November 2025 conviction and 11.5-year sentence for rebellion and conspiracy linked to the 2022 self-coup attempt. The transitional administration has emphasized legal finality ahead of the scheduled elections and offered no signals of commutation or clemency, while officials including the justice minister have described any pardon as impossible under current conditions. These confirmed actions and institutional positions underpin traders' consensus that a pardon is unlikely to occur before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$43,022End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Peru's interim government and Ministry of Justice rejected former President Pedro Castillo's formal pardon request in July 2026, with the Presidential Pardons Commission declaring it inadmissible on both ordinary and humanitarian grounds. Castillo remains incarcerated following his November 2025 conviction and 11.5-year sentence for rebellion and conspiracy linked to the 2022 self-coup attempt. The transitional administration has emphasized legal finality ahead of the scheduled elections and offered no signals of commutation or clemency, while officials including the justice minister have described any pardon as impossible under current conditions. These confirmed actions and institutional positions underpin traders' consensus that a pardon is unlikely to occur before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,022End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Peru's interim government and Ministry of Justice rejected former President Pedro Castillo's formal pardon request in July 2026, with the Presidential Pardons Commission declaring it inadmissible on both ordinary and humanitarian grounds. Castillo remains incarcerated following his November 2025 conviction and 11.5-year sentence for rebellion and conspiracy linked to the 2022 self-coup attempt. The transitional administration has emphasized legal finality ahead of the scheduled elections and offered no signals of commutation or clemency, while officials including the justice minister have described any pardon as impossible under current conditions. These confirmed actions and institutional positions underpin traders' consensus that a pardon is unlikely to occur before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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