Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C in Paris on August 26 due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs around 27°C. These conditions stem from a slow-moving low-pressure system and residual moisture from prior showers, which reduce the typical diurnal temperature swing seen in clearer late-summer nights. Historical August minima average 15–16°C, but the current pattern favors milder lows. Close market odds between 18°C and 19°C reflect minor disagreements among model runs on exact cloud timing and wind speeds, with final resolution depending on official Paris-Montsouris station readings at 2 m height.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 26?
18°C 33%
19°C 27%
16°C 12%
17°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
4%
15°C
8%
16°C
12%
17°C
11%
18°C
33%
19°C
27%
20°C
10%
21°C
5%
22°C
4%
23°C
7%
24°C or higher
2%
18°C 33%
19°C 27%
16°C 12%
17°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
14°C or below
$165 Wol.
4%
15°C
$143 Wol.
8%
16°C
$0 Wol.
12%
17°C
$66 Wol.
11%
18°C
$698 Wol.
33%
19°C
$54 Wol.
27%
20°C
$0 Wol.
10%
21°C
$10 Wol.
5%
22°C
$91 Wol.
4%
23°C
$5 Wol.
7%
24°C or higher
$45 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C in Paris on August 26 due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs around 27°C. These conditions stem from a slow-moving low-pressure system and residual moisture from prior showers, which reduce the typical diurnal temperature swing seen in clearer late-summer nights. Historical August minima average 15–16°C, but the current pattern favors milder lows. Close market odds between 18°C and 19°C reflect minor disagreements among model runs on exact cloud timing and wind speeds, with final resolution depending on official Paris-Montsouris station readings at 2 m height.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,277Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C in Paris on August 26 due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs around 27°C. These conditions stem from a slow-moving low-pressure system and residual moisture from prior showers, which reduce the typical diurnal temperature swing seen in clearer late-summer nights. Historical August minima average 15–16°C, but the current pattern favors milder lows. Close market odds between 18°C and 19°C reflect minor disagreements among model runs on exact cloud timing and wind speeds, with final resolution depending on official Paris-Montsouris station readings at 2 m height.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,277Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and European models indicate a minimum temperature near 18°C in Paris on August 26 due to persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and limited radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs around 27°C. These conditions stem from a slow-moving low-pressure system and residual moisture from prior showers, which reduce the typical diurnal temperature swing seen in clearer late-summer nights. Historical August minima average 15–16°C, but the current pattern favors milder lows. Close market odds between 18°C and 19°C reflect minor disagreements among model runs on exact cloud timing and wind speeds, with final resolution depending on official Paris-Montsouris station readings at 2 m height.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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