Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23 reflects tight uncertainty around 0–5 °C, with recent cold-air advection behind a frontal passage and strong radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies driving the spread. Overnight dew points near 0–2 °C, light southerly to southeasterly winds (5–7 m/s), and surface pressure near 1025–1027 hPa limit extreme drops by moderating the nocturnal inversion, while clear periods could allow the mercury to reach 2 °C or briefly touch 0 °C before sunrise. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble guidance cluster the expected minimum near 4–6 °C, yet small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed during the pre-dawn hours can easily swing the outcome across the closely matched market bins. Updated model runs overnight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23?
2°C 48%
0°C 48%
1°C 43%
3°C 43%
-2°C or below
26%
-1°C
42%
0°C
48%
1°C
43%
2°C
48%
3°C
43%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C or higher
<1%
2°C 48%
0°C 48%
1°C 43%
3°C 43%
-2°C or below
26%
-1°C
42%
0°C
48%
1°C
43%
2°C
48%
3°C
43%
4°C
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 23 reflects tight uncertainty around 0–5 °C, with recent cold-air advection behind a frontal passage and strong radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies driving the spread. Overnight dew points near 0–2 °C, light southerly to southeasterly winds (5–7 m/s), and surface pressure near 1025–1027 hPa limit extreme drops by moderating the nocturnal inversion, while clear periods could allow the mercury to reach 2 °C or briefly touch 0 °C before sunrise. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and ensemble guidance cluster the expected minimum near 4–6 °C, yet small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed during the pre-dawn hours can easily swing the outcome across the closely matched market bins. Updated model runs overnight will provide the next key data point for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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