Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daily maximum near 31–33°C in Munich on August 5, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible late-day showers that could cap peak readings, while recent days’ observed highs of 30–31°C reflect a warming trend consistent with August climatology. Key variables include steering flow strength and boundary-layer moisture, with updated model runs expected to refine the range ahead of resolution. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band of outcomes while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty at a two-day horizon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 5?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 5?
33°C 42%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
22%
33°C
42%
34°C
26%
35°C
8%
36°C
2%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 42%
34°C 26%
32°C 22%
35°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
30°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
31°C
$322 Wol.
5%
32°C
$250 Wol.
22%
33°C
$327 Wol.
42%
34°C
$301 Wol.
26%
35°C
$477 Wol.
8%
36°C
$207 Wol.
2%
37°C
$351 Wol.
2%
38°C
$112 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$136 Wol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$353 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daily maximum near 31–33°C in Munich on August 5, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible late-day showers that could cap peak readings, while recent days’ observed highs of 30–31°C reflect a warming trend consistent with August climatology. Key variables include steering flow strength and boundary-layer moisture, with updated model runs expected to refine the range ahead of resolution. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band of outcomes while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty at a two-day horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,835Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daily maximum near 31–33°C in Munich on August 5, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible late-day showers that could cap peak readings, while recent days’ observed highs of 30–31°C reflect a warming trend consistent with August climatology. Key variables include steering flow strength and boundary-layer moisture, with updated model runs expected to refine the range ahead of resolution. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band of outcomes while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty at a two-day horizon.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,835Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:05 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast guidance from agencies including the UK Met Office points to a daily maximum near 31–33°C in Munich on August 5, 2026, supporting the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 41.5% implied probability. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible late-day showers that could cap peak readings, while recent days’ observed highs of 30–31°C reflect a warming trend consistent with August climatology. Key variables include steering flow strength and boundary-layer moisture, with updated model runs expected to refine the range ahead of resolution. Trader consensus reflects this narrow band of outcomes while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty at a two-day horizon.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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