Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a transition toward more settled high-pressure conditions across southern England by August 5, supporting overnight minima near 17–19°C in London amid a lingering warm air mass from early-August heat. Light winds and limited cloud cover will moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in central London further buffer the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current anomalous warmth elevates the most probable outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 4 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in London on August 5?
Lowest temperature in London on August 5?
18°C 39%
19°C 36%
17°C 18%
14°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
11%
15°C
10%
16°C
9%
17°C
18%
18°C
39%
19°C
36%
20°C
8%
21°C
2%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
18°C 39%
19°C 36%
17°C 18%
14°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
13°C or below
$54 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$51 Wol.
11%
15°C
$177 Wol.
10%
16°C
$86 Wol.
9%
17°C
$0 Wol.
18%
18°C
$1,075 Wol.
39%
19°C
$1,235 Wol.
36%
20°C
$53 Wol.
8%
21°C
$115 Wol.
2%
22°C
$75 Wol.
<1%
23°C or higher
$94 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a transition toward more settled high-pressure conditions across southern England by August 5, supporting overnight minima near 17–19°C in London amid a lingering warm air mass from early-August heat. Light winds and limited cloud cover will moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in central London further buffer the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current anomalous warmth elevates the most probable outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 4 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,014Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a transition toward more settled high-pressure conditions across southern England by August 5, supporting overnight minima near 17–19°C in London amid a lingering warm air mass from early-August heat. Light winds and limited cloud cover will moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in central London further buffer the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current anomalous warmth elevates the most probable outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 4 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,014Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts indicate a transition toward more settled high-pressure conditions across southern England by August 5, supporting overnight minima near 17–19°C in London amid a lingering warm air mass from early-August heat. Light winds and limited cloud cover will moderate nocturnal radiative cooling, while urban heat-island effects in central London further buffer the lowest readings compared with rural sites. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, with minor spread arising from subtle variations in boundary-layer moisture and timing of any weak frontal passage. Historical August climatology places typical overnight lows near 13–14°C, underscoring how the current anomalous warmth elevates the most probable outcomes. Updated model runs and Met Office briefings through August 4 will provide the final observational constraints ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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