Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 5?
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
27°C 22%
24°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
35%
26°C
35%
27°C
22%
28°C
5%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 35%
26°C 35%
27°C 22%
24°C 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
21°C or below
$57 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$62 Wol.
1%
23°C
$47 Wol.
2%
24°C
$253 Wol.
5%
25°C
$257 Wol.
35%
26°C
$183 Wol.
35%
27°C
$334 Wol.
22%
28°C
$35 Wol.
5%
29°C
$312 Wol.
1%
30°C
$57 Wol.
1%
31°C or higher
$43 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,638Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,638Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Hong Kong indicate overnight lows near 26°C on August 5 under typical summer monsoon conditions, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 25–27°C. Cloud cover and humidity levels remain key variables, as reduced nighttime radiative cooling under overcast skies can hold minima at or above seasonal averages, while clearer intervals allow greater heat loss. The Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook for August–October points to normal-to-above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-range model consensus highlights modest day-to-day variability tied to convective activity and wind patterns. Traders are weighing these atmospheric factors against historical August minimums near 26°C, with fresh model runs expected to sharpen resolution before the date.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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