Recent forecasts from PAGASA highlight the southwest monsoon (Habagat) enhanced by nearby tropical systems, which is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through August 5. These conditions limit incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima near the 28–30°C range rather than the higher values typical of drier periods. With the market’s top outcomes clustered tightly at 28–30°C, traders are weighing subtle differences in rain timing, cloud thickness, and steering flow that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Official outlooks project a 30°C high on August 5, yet persistent monsoon moisture introduces uncertainty that favors the slightly cooler 28–29°C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on August 5?
Highest temperature in Manila on August 5?
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 22%
27°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
8%
28°C
30%
29°C
37%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C or higher
2%
29°C 37%
28°C 30%
30°C 22%
27°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
22°C or below
$393 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$28 Wol.
1%
24°C
$10 Wol.
2%
25°C
$59 Wol.
1%
26°C
$207 Wol.
2%
27°C
$218 Wol.
8%
28°C
$59 Wol.
30%
29°C
$252 Wol.
37%
30°C
$55 Wol.
22%
31°C
$44 Wol.
6%
32°C or higher
$95 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA highlight the southwest monsoon (Habagat) enhanced by nearby tropical systems, which is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through August 5. These conditions limit incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima near the 28–30°C range rather than the higher values typical of drier periods. With the market’s top outcomes clustered tightly at 28–30°C, traders are weighing subtle differences in rain timing, cloud thickness, and steering flow that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Official outlooks project a 30°C high on August 5, yet persistent monsoon moisture introduces uncertainty that favors the slightly cooler 28–29°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,419Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from PAGASA highlight the southwest monsoon (Habagat) enhanced by nearby tropical systems, which is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through August 5. These conditions limit incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima near the 28–30°C range rather than the higher values typical of drier periods. With the market’s top outcomes clustered tightly at 28–30°C, traders are weighing subtle differences in rain timing, cloud thickness, and steering flow that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Official outlooks project a 30°C high on August 5, yet persistent monsoon moisture introduces uncertainty that favors the slightly cooler 28–29°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,419Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:09 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from PAGASA highlight the southwest monsoon (Habagat) enhanced by nearby tropical systems, which is driving widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms over Metro Manila through August 5. These conditions limit incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling, keeping daytime maxima near the 28–30°C range rather than the higher values typical of drier periods. With the market’s top outcomes clustered tightly at 28–30°C, traders are weighing subtle differences in rain timing, cloud thickness, and steering flow that could shift the daily peak by 1–2°C. Official outlooks project a 30°C high on August 5, yet persistent monsoon moisture introduces uncertainty that favors the slightly cooler 28–29°C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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