Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 5?
19°C 40%
20°C 37%
18°C 13%
21°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
13%
19°C
40%
20°C
37%
21°C
9%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
19°C 40%
20°C 37%
18°C 13%
21°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
16°C or below
$257 Wol.
1%
17°C
$115 Wol.
3%
18°C
$159 Wol.
13%
19°C
$1,974 Wol.
40%
20°C
$666 Wol.
37%
21°C
$135 Wol.
9%
22°C
$104 Wol.
4%
23°C
$281 Wol.
1%
24°C
$192 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$126 Wol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$126 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,135Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,135Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current medium-range forecasts from major numerical weather prediction models show Paris overnight lows stabilizing near 19–20°C on August 5, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting clear to partly cloudy skies and moderate radiative cooling under light winds. Ensemble spreads reflect typical uncertainty in boundary-layer processes, with lower values favored if dew points drop further or if urban heat-island effects are minimized, while slightly higher readings could result from increased cloud cover or a modest warm advection. Historical August climatology places average minima around 15–16°C, but the current pattern aligns with warmer recent analogs, keeping the market tightly balanced between the two leading outcomes ahead of updated model runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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