Current short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit daytime cooling. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–38°C under similar patterns, but slight increases in moisture or afternoon convection could cap the high at 34°C rather than pushing it to 35°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between these two outcomes, traders are weighing small differences in forecast guidance on boundary-layer humidity and any late-day sea-breeze effects. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 4?
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
33°C 16%
36°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
4%
33°C
16%
34°C
36%
35°C
37%
36°C
11%
37°C
2%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 37%
34°C 36%
33°C 16%
36°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$41 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$104 Wol.
1%
31°C
$69 Wol.
2%
32°C
$203 Wol.
4%
33°C
$630 Wol.
16%
34°C
$228 Wol.
36%
35°C
$704 Wol.
37%
36°C
$108 Wol.
11%
37°C
$58 Wol.
2%
38°C
$125 Wol.
4%
39°C or higher
$61 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit daytime cooling. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–38°C under similar patterns, but slight increases in moisture or afternoon convection could cap the high at 34°C rather than pushing it to 35°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between these two outcomes, traders are weighing small differences in forecast guidance on boundary-layer humidity and any late-day sea-breeze effects. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,331Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit daytime cooling. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–38°C under similar patterns, but slight increases in moisture or afternoon convection could cap the high at 34°C rather than pushing it to 35°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between these two outcomes, traders are weighing small differences in forecast guidance on boundary-layer humidity and any late-day sea-breeze effects. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,331Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to a daily maximum near 34–35°C in Shanghai on August 4, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and minimal cloud cover that limit daytime cooling. Recent days have seen peaks of 37–38°C under similar patterns, but slight increases in moisture or afternoon convection could cap the high at 34°C rather than pushing it to 35°C. With leading market-implied odds nearly even between these two outcomes, traders are weighing small differences in forecast guidance on boundary-layer humidity and any late-day sea-breeze effects. Updated runs over the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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