**Forecast models for August 2 indicate cloudy skies and scattered showers across Chongqing that are expected to limit daytime heating.** Subtropical moisture and regional atmospheric patterns are suppressing maximum temperatures relative to the city's typical August peak of 34–35 °C under clear conditions. Official guidance from monitoring agencies aligns with this moderation, placing the most likely outcome at or below 33 °C. Traders have priced this outlook heavily, with implied probability exceeding 70 % for 33 °C or lower, while probabilities for 35 °C or higher remain minimal. The next model runs and observational updates will determine whether any late intensification of heating shifts these odds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 2?
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 10%
36°C 3%
$22,928 Wol.
$22,928 Wol.
33°C or below
72%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 72%
34°C 18%
35°C 10%
36°C 3%
$22,928 Wol.
$22,928 Wol.
33°C or below
72%
34°C
18%
35°C
10%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for August 2 indicate cloudy skies and scattered showers across Chongqing that are expected to limit daytime heating.** Subtropical moisture and regional atmospheric patterns are suppressing maximum temperatures relative to the city's typical August peak of 34–35 °C under clear conditions. Official guidance from monitoring agencies aligns with this moderation, placing the most likely outcome at or below 33 °C. Traders have priced this outlook heavily, with implied probability exceeding 70 % for 33 °C or lower, while probabilities for 35 °C or higher remain minimal. The next model runs and observational updates will determine whether any late intensification of heating shifts these odds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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