Traders see the 36–37°C range as most probable for Chongqing’s peak temperature on August 1 because current model consensus from regional forecasts places the daytime maximum near these thresholds under persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds. Chongqing’s basin topography traps heat while the Yangtze and Jialing rivers add humidity that slows nighttime cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Recent days have shown urban heat-island amplification of 1–2°C above surrounding rural stations, supporting the slight edge for 37°C in market pricing. Updated guidance expected later today from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether any localized convection or slight advection of cooler air shifts the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 1?
37°C 40%
36°C 34%
35°C 17%
38°C 12%
$25,298 Wol.
$25,298 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
34°C or below
<1%
35°C
17%
36°C
34%
37°C
40%
38°C
12%
39°C
4%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C or higher
<1%
37°C 40%
36°C 34%
35°C 17%
38°C 12%
$25,298 Wol.
$25,298 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
34°C or below
$6,138 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$1,605 Wol.
17%
36°C
$1,450 Wol.
34%
37°C
$1,783 Wol.
40%
38°C
$3,071 Wol.
12%
39°C
$1,971 Wol.
4%
40°C
$2,772 Wol.
1%
41°C
$4,018 Wol.
<1%
42°C
$1,380 Wol.
<1%
43°C
$411 Wol.
<1%
44°C or higher
$700 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 36–37°C range as most probable for Chongqing’s peak temperature on August 1 because current model consensus from regional forecasts places the daytime maximum near these thresholds under persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds. Chongqing’s basin topography traps heat while the Yangtze and Jialing rivers add humidity that slows nighttime cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Recent days have shown urban heat-island amplification of 1–2°C above surrounding rural stations, supporting the slight edge for 37°C in market pricing. Updated guidance expected later today from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether any localized convection or slight advection of cooler air shifts the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$25,298Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 36–37°C range as most probable for Chongqing’s peak temperature on August 1 because current model consensus from regional forecasts places the daytime maximum near these thresholds under persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds. Chongqing’s basin topography traps heat while the Yangtze and Jialing rivers add humidity that slows nighttime cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Recent days have shown urban heat-island amplification of 1–2°C above surrounding rural stations, supporting the slight edge for 37°C in market pricing. Updated guidance expected later today from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether any localized convection or slight advection of cooler air shifts the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$25,298Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 36–37°C range as most probable for Chongqing’s peak temperature on August 1 because current model consensus from regional forecasts places the daytime maximum near these thresholds under persistent subtropical high pressure and light winds. Chongqing’s basin topography traps heat while the Yangtze and Jialing rivers add humidity that slows nighttime cooling, keeping the diurnal range narrow. Recent days have shown urban heat-island amplification of 1–2°C above surrounding rural stations, supporting the slight edge for 37°C in market pricing. Updated guidance expected later today from the China Meteorological Administration will clarify whether any localized convection or slight advection of cooler air shifts the outcome.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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