Trader consensus in the Chengdu August 1 highest-temperature market favors 26–27 °C because current model guidance and climatological baselines point to moderate daytime maxima under typical early-August monsoon conditions. Chengdu’s subtropical climate normally produces August highs of 28–30 °C, yet increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and regional humidity often suppress peaks by 1–3 °C on individual days. Official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies show recent 24-hour trends consistent with these slightly cooler outcomes, while ensemble forecasts continue to show limited spread around the 26–27 °C range. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary urban station, with any unexpected clearing or stronger subsidence raising the chance of 28 °C or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 1?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 1?
26°C 45%
27°C 42%
28°C 13%
29°C 5%
$37,156 Wol.
$37,156 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
3%
26°C
45%
27°C
42%
28°C
13%
29°C
5%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 45%
27°C 42%
28°C 13%
29°C 5%
$37,156 Wol.
$37,156 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
22°C or below
$702 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$1,445 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$2,826 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$4,404 Wol.
3%
26°C
$5,268 Wol.
45%
27°C
$1,639 Wol.
42%
28°C
$1,590 Wol.
13%
29°C
$2,000 Wol.
5%
30°C
$3,197 Wol.
1%
31°C
$4,018 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$10,068 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Chengdu August 1 highest-temperature market favors 26–27 °C because current model guidance and climatological baselines point to moderate daytime maxima under typical early-August monsoon conditions. Chengdu’s subtropical climate normally produces August highs of 28–30 °C, yet increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and regional humidity often suppress peaks by 1–3 °C on individual days. Official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies show recent 24-hour trends consistent with these slightly cooler outcomes, while ensemble forecasts continue to show limited spread around the 26–27 °C range. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary urban station, with any unexpected clearing or stronger subsidence raising the chance of 28 °C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$37,156Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in the Chengdu August 1 highest-temperature market favors 26–27 °C because current model guidance and climatological baselines point to moderate daytime maxima under typical early-August monsoon conditions. Chengdu’s subtropical climate normally produces August highs of 28–30 °C, yet increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and regional humidity often suppress peaks by 1–3 °C on individual days. Official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies show recent 24-hour trends consistent with these slightly cooler outcomes, while ensemble forecasts continue to show limited spread around the 26–27 °C range. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary urban station, with any unexpected clearing or stronger subsidence raising the chance of 28 °C or higher.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$37,156Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in the Chengdu August 1 highest-temperature market favors 26–27 °C because current model guidance and climatological baselines point to moderate daytime maxima under typical early-August monsoon conditions. Chengdu’s subtropical climate normally produces August highs of 28–30 °C, yet increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and regional humidity often suppress peaks by 1–3 °C on individual days. Official observations from Chinese meteorological agencies show recent 24-hour trends consistent with these slightly cooler outcomes, while ensemble forecasts continue to show limited spread around the 26–27 °C range. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at the primary urban station, with any unexpected clearing or stronger subsidence raising the chance of 28 °C or higher.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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