Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles positions a daytime maximum of 28–30°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on August 1, 2026. A weakening ridge of high pressure is allowing modest Atlantic moisture and scattered showers to arrive, increasing cloud cover and reducing insolation compared with the preceding heatwave that produced 34–36°C readings. Model consensus shows limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, keeping surface temperatures from climbing further while preventing sharp cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects traders weighting these near-term observational constraints and the narrow remaining window for model updates before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on August 1?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 1?
29°C 39%
28°C 25%
30°C 19%
27°C 16.0%
NOWE
$45,079 Wol.
NOWE
$45,079 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
26°C or below
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
25%
29°C
39%
30°C
19%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 39%
28°C 25%
30°C 19%
27°C 16.0%
NOWE
$45,079 Wol.
NOWE
$45,079 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
26°C or below
$3,179 Wol.
5%
27°C
$4,176 Wol.
16%
28°C
$7,808 Wol.
25%
29°C
$7,042 Wol.
39%
30°C
$7,567 Wol.
19%
31°C
$7,215 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$3,115 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$589 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$834 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$1,632 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$1,923 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles positions a daytime maximum of 28–30°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on August 1, 2026. A weakening ridge of high pressure is allowing modest Atlantic moisture and scattered showers to arrive, increasing cloud cover and reducing insolation compared with the preceding heatwave that produced 34–36°C readings. Model consensus shows limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, keeping surface temperatures from climbing further while preventing sharp cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects traders weighting these near-term observational constraints and the narrow remaining window for model updates before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$45,079Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles positions a daytime maximum of 28–30°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on August 1, 2026. A weakening ridge of high pressure is allowing modest Atlantic moisture and scattered showers to arrive, increasing cloud cover and reducing insolation compared with the preceding heatwave that produced 34–36°C readings. Model consensus shows limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, keeping surface temperatures from climbing further while preventing sharp cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects traders weighting these near-term observational constraints and the narrow remaining window for model updates before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$45,079Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from agencies including the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles positions a daytime maximum of 28–30°C as the most probable outcome for Munich on August 1, 2026. A weakening ridge of high pressure is allowing modest Atlantic moisture and scattered showers to arrive, increasing cloud cover and reducing insolation compared with the preceding heatwave that produced 34–36°C readings. Model consensus shows limited diurnal heating under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly flow, keeping surface temperatures from climbing further while preventing sharp cooling. The tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 28–30°C reflects traders weighting these near-term observational constraints and the narrow remaining window for model updates before the daily maximum is recorded.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania