Monsoon-driven cloud cover and potential scattered showers are the dominant factors moderating Karachi's peak temperatures on August 2, keeping trader-implied odds highest for a maximum near 32–33°C. August climatology shows average daily highs of 32°C, with coastal sea breezes and high humidity from the Arabian Sea further limiting daytime heating compared to inland areas. Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal outlooks indicate slightly above-normal mean temperatures for the July–September period, yet recent weekly guidance and model consensus point to near- or below-normal maxima amid active monsoon conditions. Official forecasts for early August place highs around 30–32°C with patchy rain possible, aligning with the market's concentration on 32–33°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 34°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Karachi on August 2?
33°C 44%
32°C 28%
34°C 15%
31°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
28%
33°C
44%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
5%
33°C 44%
32°C 28%
34°C 15%
31°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
28%
33°C
44%
34°C
15%
35°C or higher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon-driven cloud cover and potential scattered showers are the dominant factors moderating Karachi's peak temperatures on August 2, keeping trader-implied odds highest for a maximum near 32–33°C. August climatology shows average daily highs of 32°C, with coastal sea breezes and high humidity from the Arabian Sea further limiting daytime heating compared to inland areas. Pakistan Meteorological Department seasonal outlooks indicate slightly above-normal mean temperatures for the July–September period, yet recent weekly guidance and model consensus point to near- or below-normal maxima amid active monsoon conditions. Official forecasts for early August place highs around 30–32°C with patchy rain possible, aligning with the market's concentration on 32–33°C outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 34°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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