**Recent forecast updates from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and regional monitoring have driven the strong trader consensus toward a 25°C high in Buenos Aires on July 31, 2026.** Warm air advection ahead of an approaching frontal system has elevated daytime maxima 4–8°C above the July climatological average of roughly 15–17°C, with observed afternoon readings and short-range guidance converging near or at 25°C. Official surface observations from stations such as Aeroparque and central Buenos Aires, combined with ensemble model consensus on minimal cooling before peak heating, underpin the market-implied odds exceeding 99%. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from authoritative Argentine meteorological records; a stronger-than-expected cold front passage or localized measurement variability below 24°C could still shift the outcome, though current data make such scenarios unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 31?
25°C 95.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$71,187 Wol.
$71,187 Wol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
95%
26°C or higher
1%
25°C 95.0%
26°C or higher <1%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
$71,187 Wol.
$71,187 Wol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
95%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast updates from models like those referenced by AccuWeather and regional monitoring have driven the strong trader consensus toward a 25°C high in Buenos Aires on July 31, 2026.** Warm air advection ahead of an approaching frontal system has elevated daytime maxima 4–8°C above the July climatological average of roughly 15–17°C, with observed afternoon readings and short-range guidance converging near or at 25°C. Official surface observations from stations such as Aeroparque and central Buenos Aires, combined with ensemble model consensus on minimal cooling before peak heating, underpin the market-implied odds exceeding 99%. Resolution hinges on the final verified maximum from authoritative Argentine meteorological records; a stronger-than-expected cold front passage or localized measurement variability below 24°C could still shift the outcome, though current data make such scenarios unlikely.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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