Current Met Office forecasts show London reaching a daytime maximum of 27°C on August 2 under building high pressure, with light winds and increasing sunshine that favors daytime warming from a southerly air mass. This aligns with the summer's above-average maximum temperatures across southern England (running roughly 2–3°C above the long-term mean) and supports the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates limited spread around this value, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or frontal approaches could trim or add 1°C. Traders appear to price in the high-resolution consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near the 26–28°C thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on August 2?
Highest temperature in London on August 2?
27°C 47%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 10%
NOWE
$23,506 Wol.
NOWE
$23,506 Wol.
Aug 2, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
10%
26°C
24%
27°C
47%
28°C
18%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 47%
26°C 24%
28°C 18%
25°C 10%
NOWE
$23,506 Wol.
NOWE
$23,506 Wol.
Aug 2, 2026
22°C or below
$739 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$488 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$2,409 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$3,712 Wol.
10%
26°C
$5,431 Wol.
24%
27°C
$4,387 Wol.
47%
28°C
$1,492 Wol.
18%
29°C
$2,066 Wol.
3%
30°C
$1,644 Wol.
1%
31°C
$703 Wol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$435 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office forecasts show London reaching a daytime maximum of 27°C on August 2 under building high pressure, with light winds and increasing sunshine that favors daytime warming from a southerly air mass. This aligns with the summer's above-average maximum temperatures across southern England (running roughly 2–3°C above the long-term mean) and supports the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates limited spread around this value, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or frontal approaches could trim or add 1°C. Traders appear to price in the high-resolution consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near the 26–28°C thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,506Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current Met Office forecasts show London reaching a daytime maximum of 27°C on August 2 under building high pressure, with light winds and increasing sunshine that favors daytime warming from a southerly air mass. This aligns with the summer's above-average maximum temperatures across southern England (running roughly 2–3°C above the long-term mean) and supports the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates limited spread around this value, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or frontal approaches could trim or add 1°C. Traders appear to price in the high-resolution consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near the 26–28°C thresholds ahead of final observational data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$23,506Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current Met Office forecasts show London reaching a daytime maximum of 27°C on August 2 under building high pressure, with light winds and increasing sunshine that favors daytime warming from a southerly air mass. This aligns with the summer's above-average maximum temperatures across southern England (running roughly 2–3°C above the long-term mean) and supports the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C. Ensemble guidance from global models indicates limited spread around this value, though minor timing shifts in cloud cover or frontal approaches could trim or add 1°C. Traders appear to price in the high-resolution consensus while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty near the 26–28°C thresholds ahead of final observational data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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