Current meteorological forecasts and climatological baselines for early August in Wellington have anchored trader consensus on an 11°C daily maximum at Wellington International Airport, with market-implied odds exceeding 98%. Long-term averages place typical daytime highs near 11–12°C during this period, while NIWA’s June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Recent model guidance from MetService and international ensembles projects light winds, possible cloud cover, and limited warm advection, keeping conditions aligned with this narrow range. An unexpected shift toward stronger northerly flow, clearer skies increasing insolation, or altered steering patterns could realistically push readings to 12°C or higher, whereas enhanced southerly winds might cap the high at 10°C or below; however, the proximity of the observation window and model agreement constrain such deviations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 1?
11°C 99%
12°C <1%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
NOWE
$128,508 Wol.
NOWE
$128,508 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
5°C or below
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
99%
12°C
1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
11°C 99%
12°C <1%
5°C or below <1%
6°C <1%
NOWE
$128,508 Wol.
NOWE
$128,508 Wol.
Aug 1, 2026
5°C or below
$366 Wol.
<1%
6°C
$639 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$3,954 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$12,387 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$21,375 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$44,631 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$18,027 Wol.
99%
12°C
$9,911 Wol.
1%
13°C
$6,404 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$8,416 Wol.
<1%
15°C or higher
$2,399 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts and climatological baselines for early August in Wellington have anchored trader consensus on an 11°C daily maximum at Wellington International Airport, with market-implied odds exceeding 98%. Long-term averages place typical daytime highs near 11–12°C during this period, while NIWA’s June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Recent model guidance from MetService and international ensembles projects light winds, possible cloud cover, and limited warm advection, keeping conditions aligned with this narrow range. An unexpected shift toward stronger northerly flow, clearer skies increasing insolation, or altered steering patterns could realistically push readings to 12°C or higher, whereas enhanced southerly winds might cap the high at 10°C or below; however, the proximity of the observation window and model agreement constrain such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$128,508Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts and climatological baselines for early August in Wellington have anchored trader consensus on an 11°C daily maximum at Wellington International Airport, with market-implied odds exceeding 98%. Long-term averages place typical daytime highs near 11–12°C during this period, while NIWA’s June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Recent model guidance from MetService and international ensembles projects light winds, possible cloud cover, and limited warm advection, keeping conditions aligned with this narrow range. An unexpected shift toward stronger northerly flow, clearer skies increasing insolation, or altered steering patterns could realistically push readings to 12°C or higher, whereas enhanced southerly winds might cap the high at 10°C or below; however, the proximity of the observation window and model agreement constrain such deviations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$128,508Data zakończenia
Aug 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts and climatological baselines for early August in Wellington have anchored trader consensus on an 11°C daily maximum at Wellington International Airport, with market-implied odds exceeding 98%. Long-term averages place typical daytime highs near 11–12°C during this period, while NIWA’s June–August outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average or below-average temperatures across the region. Recent model guidance from MetService and international ensembles projects light winds, possible cloud cover, and limited warm advection, keeping conditions aligned with this narrow range. An unexpected shift toward stronger northerly flow, clearer skies increasing insolation, or altered steering patterns could realistically push readings to 12°C or higher, whereas enhanced southerly winds might cap the high at 10°C or below; however, the proximity of the observation window and model agreement constrain such deviations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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