Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models show a continuation of above-normal summer warmth across northern France into August 2, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. This setup supports daily maxima concentrated in the 31–33°C range, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes, while instability from an approaching trough introduces a modest chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap temperatures slightly lower. Historical climatology places early-August Paris highs near 25–26°C, so the current anomaly reflects amplified subtropical air advection. Traders appear to weigh the latest ensemble runs—showing modest day-to-day refinement—against the possibility of timing shifts in any convective activity, keeping implied probabilities anchored near the upper end of seasonal norms.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 2?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 2?
32°C 46%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
24%
32°C
46%
33°C
23%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 46%
31°C 24%
33°C 23%
30°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
$315 Wol.
1%
29°C
$163 Wol.
2%
30°C
$431 Wol.
6%
31°C
$1,201 Wol.
24%
32°C
$471 Wol.
46%
33°C
$509 Wol.
23%
34°C
$518 Wol.
3%
35°C
$109 Wol.
1%
36°C
$116 Wol.
1%
37°C
$152 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$197 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models show a continuation of above-normal summer warmth across northern France into August 2, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. This setup supports daily maxima concentrated in the 31–33°C range, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes, while instability from an approaching trough introduces a modest chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap temperatures slightly lower. Historical climatology places early-August Paris highs near 25–26°C, so the current anomaly reflects amplified subtropical air advection. Traders appear to weigh the latest ensemble runs—showing modest day-to-day refinement—against the possibility of timing shifts in any convective activity, keeping implied probabilities anchored near the upper end of seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,183Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models show a continuation of above-normal summer warmth across northern France into August 2, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. This setup supports daily maxima concentrated in the 31–33°C range, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes, while instability from an approaching trough introduces a modest chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap temperatures slightly lower. Historical climatology places early-August Paris highs near 25–26°C, so the current anomaly reflects amplified subtropical air advection. Traders appear to weigh the latest ensemble runs—showing modest day-to-day refinement—against the possibility of timing shifts in any convective activity, keeping implied probabilities anchored near the upper end of seasonal norms.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,183Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from Météo-France and European models show a continuation of above-normal summer warmth across northern France into August 2, driven by a persistent high-pressure ridge that favors clear skies and limited cloud cover during peak heating hours. This setup supports daily maxima concentrated in the 31–33°C range, consistent with the market’s heaviest trading around those outcomes, while instability from an approaching trough introduces a modest chance of afternoon thunderstorms that could cap temperatures slightly lower. Historical climatology places early-August Paris highs near 25–26°C, so the current anomaly reflects amplified subtropical air advection. Traders appear to weigh the latest ensemble runs—showing modest day-to-day refinement—against the possibility of timing shifts in any convective activity, keeping implied probabilities anchored near the upper end of seasonal norms.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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