Recent forecasts from sources including TravelChinaGuide and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely reach 27–28°C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate, typical August nighttime lows range 25–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, with limited cooling from sea breezes or cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences appear in current model guidance that would drive sharper drops below 26°C or allow spikes above 29°C. Traders have aligned closely with these ensemble outputs, as resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations for the city's lowest reading. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours could refine the exact threshold if local conditions shift.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 2?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 2?
28°C 51%
27°C 25%
29°C 7%
26°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
25%
28°C
51%
29°C
7%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 51%
27°C 25%
29°C 7%
26°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
23°C or below
$584 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$522 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$222 Wol.
2%
26°C
$276 Wol.
7%
27°C
$1,260 Wol.
25%
28°C
$1,990 Wol.
51%
29°C
$531 Wol.
7%
30°C
$192 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$339 Wol.
1%
32°C
$250 Wol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$776 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including TravelChinaGuide and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely reach 27–28°C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate, typical August nighttime lows range 25–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, with limited cooling from sea breezes or cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences appear in current model guidance that would drive sharper drops below 26°C or allow spikes above 29°C. Traders have aligned closely with these ensemble outputs, as resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations for the city's lowest reading. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours could refine the exact threshold if local conditions shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,941Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources including TravelChinaGuide and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely reach 27–28°C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate, typical August nighttime lows range 25–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, with limited cooling from sea breezes or cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences appear in current model guidance that would drive sharper drops below 26°C or allow spikes above 29°C. Traders have aligned closely with these ensemble outputs, as resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations for the city's lowest reading. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours could refine the exact threshold if local conditions shift.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,941Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources including TravelChinaGuide and timeanddate.com indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 2 will likely reach 27–28°C, consistent with the market's leading implied probabilities. In Shanghai's humid subtropical climate, typical August nighttime lows range 25–28°C amid high humidity and urban heat retention, with limited cooling from sea breezes or cloud cover. No significant frontal systems or typhoon influences appear in current model guidance that would drive sharper drops below 26°C or allow spikes above 29°C. Traders have aligned closely with these ensemble outputs, as resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration observations for the city's lowest reading. Updated model runs in the next 24 hours could refine the exact threshold if local conditions shift.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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