Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in NYC on July 31?
Highest temperature in NYC on July 31?
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$71,332 Wol.
$71,332 Wol.
Jul 31, 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
100%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 100.0%
75°F or below <1%
76-77°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$71,332 Wol.
$71,332 Wol.
Jul 31, 2026
75°F or below
$757 Wol.
<1%
76-77°F
$906 Wol.
<1%
78-79°F
$2,167 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$7,633 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$8,691 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$19,323 Wol.
100%
86-87°F
$12,421 Wol.
<1%
88-89°F
$10,262 Wol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,586 Wol.
<1%
92-93°F
$2,801 Wol.
<1%
94°F or higher
$3,785 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
Wolumen
$71,332Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$71,332Data zakończenia
Jul 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 10:02 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park confirm a daily maximum of 85°F on July 31 under partly cloudy skies, matching the tight consensus of ensemble models that projected highs of 84–85°F with light winds and moderate humidity. This outcome reflects stable late-July atmospheric patterns, including typical steering flows and minimal convective activity that kept temperatures from deviating significantly from climatological expectations around the seasonal average. Trader consensus at near-certainty for the 84–85°F bin rests on the convergence of verified station data and narrow model spreads. Only an unlikely post-analysis revision to the official climatological report or station-specific discrepancies could shift resolution, though such adjustments remain rare given multi-source verification protocols.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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