Current short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 2 under moderate high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over the North Sea region. This late-summer setup favors modest daytime warming without strong advection or significant insolation enhancements that could push values toward 28°C or higher. Trader consensus has concentrated on these two outcomes, with 36.5% implied probability on 27°C and 35.5% on 26°C, reflecting stable model agreement and low likelihood of extremes given typical climatological ranges for early August. Updated national meteorological service guidance from KNMI will offer the next refinement before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 2?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 2?
27°C 37%
26°C 35%
28°C 14%
25°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
4%
25°C
14%
26°C
35%
27°C
37%
28°C
14%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 37%
26°C 35%
28°C 14%
25°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
21°C or below
$312 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$383 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$292 Wol.
2%
24°C
$499 Wol.
4%
25°C
$581 Wol.
14%
26°C
$625 Wol.
35%
27°C
$762 Wol.
37%
28°C
$1,589 Wol.
14%
29°C
$311 Wol.
1%
30°C
$223 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$353 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 2 under moderate high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over the North Sea region. This late-summer setup favors modest daytime warming without strong advection or significant insolation enhancements that could push values toward 28°C or higher. Trader consensus has concentrated on these two outcomes, with 36.5% implied probability on 27°C and 35.5% on 26°C, reflecting stable model agreement and low likelihood of extremes given typical climatological ranges for early August. Updated national meteorological service guidance from KNMI will offer the next refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$5,930Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 2 under moderate high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over the North Sea region. This late-summer setup favors modest daytime warming without strong advection or significant insolation enhancements that could push values toward 28°C or higher. Trader consensus has concentrated on these two outcomes, with 36.5% implied probability on 27°C and 35.5% on 26°C, reflecting stable model agreement and low likelihood of extremes given typical climatological ranges for early August. Updated national meteorological service guidance from KNMI will offer the next refinement before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5,930Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from European models, including ECMWF runs, indicate a maximum temperature of 26–27°C in Amsterdam on August 2 under moderate high-pressure conditions with light winds and limited cloud cover over the North Sea region. This late-summer setup favors modest daytime warming without strong advection or significant insolation enhancements that could push values toward 28°C or higher. Trader consensus has concentrated on these two outcomes, with 36.5% implied probability on 27°C and 35.5% on 26°C, reflecting stable model agreement and low likelihood of extremes given typical climatological ranges for early August. Updated national meteorological service guidance from KNMI will offer the next refinement before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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