Seasonal Mediterranean summer conditions, dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, are driving expectations for a Tel Aviv daily maximum near or slightly above the 32°C August climatological average. With the sea surface temperature around 28°C providing only modest coastal moderation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation forecast, models support highs in the 34–36°C range for August 2. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com align with this band, showing no major heatwave or cooling advection to shift probabilities. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% implied probability for 35°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric factors and the narrow uncertainty window one day ahead of resolution, while assigning lower weight to rarer outliers above 37°C absent anomalous warming signals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 2?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 2?
35°C 57%
36°C 18%
34°C 17%
37°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
3%
34°C
17%
35°C
57%
36°C
18%
37°C
4%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 57%
36°C 18%
34°C 17%
37°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
31°C or below
$320 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$386 Wol.
<1%
33°C
$681 Wol.
3%
34°C
$3,347 Wol.
17%
35°C
$1,886 Wol.
57%
36°C
$1,003 Wol.
18%
37°C
$459 Wol.
4%
38°C
$58 Wol.
<1%
39°C
$162 Wol.
<1%
40°C
$272 Wol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$1,201 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal Mediterranean summer conditions, dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, are driving expectations for a Tel Aviv daily maximum near or slightly above the 32°C August climatological average. With the sea surface temperature around 28°C providing only modest coastal moderation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation forecast, models support highs in the 34–36°C range for August 2. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com align with this band, showing no major heatwave or cooling advection to shift probabilities. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% implied probability for 35°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric factors and the narrow uncertainty window one day ahead of resolution, while assigning lower weight to rarer outliers above 37°C absent anomalous warming signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,776Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal Mediterranean summer conditions, dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, are driving expectations for a Tel Aviv daily maximum near or slightly above the 32°C August climatological average. With the sea surface temperature around 28°C providing only modest coastal moderation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation forecast, models support highs in the 34–36°C range for August 2. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com align with this band, showing no major heatwave or cooling advection to shift probabilities. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% implied probability for 35°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric factors and the narrow uncertainty window one day ahead of resolution, while assigning lower weight to rarer outliers above 37°C absent anomalous warming signals.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,776Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal Mediterranean summer conditions, dominated by subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and strong solar insolation, are driving expectations for a Tel Aviv daily maximum near or slightly above the 32°C August climatological average. With the sea surface temperature around 28°C providing only modest coastal moderation and minimal cloud cover or precipitation forecast, models support highs in the 34–36°C range for August 2. Recent extended forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate.com align with this band, showing no major heatwave or cooling advection to shift probabilities. Trader consensus, reflected in the 57.5% implied probability for 35°C, incorporates these stable atmospheric factors and the narrow uncertainty window one day ahead of resolution, while assigning lower weight to rarer outliers above 37°C absent anomalous warming signals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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