Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 2?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 2?
13°C 56%
12°C 34%
14°C 10%
11°C 4%
NOWE
$15,005 Wol.
NOWE
$15,005 Wol.
Aug 2, 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
4%
12°C
34%
13°C
56%
14°C
10%
15°C
2%
16°C or higher
<1%
13°C 56%
12°C 34%
14°C 10%
11°C 4%
NOWE
$15,005 Wol.
NOWE
$15,005 Wol.
Aug 2, 2026
6°C or below
$372 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$382 Wol.
<1%
8°C
$392 Wol.
<1%
9°C
$392 Wol.
<1%
10°C
$1,228 Wol.
<1%
11°C
$2,407 Wol.
4%
12°C
$2,926 Wol.
34%
13°C
$2,757 Wol.
56%
14°C
$2,379 Wol.
10%
15°C
$1,433 Wol.
2%
16°C or higher
$337 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,005Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15,005Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological data and seasonal outlooks position 12–13°C as the leading outcomes for Wellington’s August 2 maximum temperature, reflecting typical mid-winter conditions over the North Island. NIWA’s June–August 2026 outlook assigns the highest probability to near-average temperatures, consistent with long-term climatology showing August highs averaging 12–14°C at Wellington Aero and Kelburn sites. Current model guidance indicates a stable high-pressure influence supporting daytime maxima near 12°C, with limited synoptic forcing for significant warming or cooling. The market’s emphasis on these narrow bands captures the low day-to-day variability and narrow uncertainty range typical of New Zealand’s maritime winter climate, where official MetService observations resolve the precise daily maximum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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