Trader consensus around 30°C for Guangzhou's August 2 high reflects numerical weather models showing typical late-summer subtropical conditions near seasonal norms, with modest spread among leading outcomes. Primary scientific factors include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar insolation and vertical mixing, versus southeasterly monsoon flow that can increase cloud cover, humidity, and convective cooling. Ensemble guidance highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification within the city, while official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration emphasize how small shifts in these variables can differentiate a 29°C versus 31°C outcome. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify the balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 2?
30°C 35%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
9%
29°C
22%
30°C
35%
31°C
26%
32°C
11%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 35%
31°C 26%
29°C 22%
32°C 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 2, 2026
25°C or below
$150 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$127 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$238 Wol.
2%
28°C
$425 Wol.
9%
29°C
$385 Wol.
22%
30°C
$365 Wol.
35%
31°C
$297 Wol.
26%
32°C
$888 Wol.
11%
33°C
$1,258 Wol.
2%
34°C
$258 Wol.
1%
35°C or higher
$452 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30°C for Guangzhou's August 2 high reflects numerical weather models showing typical late-summer subtropical conditions near seasonal norms, with modest spread among leading outcomes. Primary scientific factors include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar insolation and vertical mixing, versus southeasterly monsoon flow that can increase cloud cover, humidity, and convective cooling. Ensemble guidance highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification within the city, while official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration emphasize how small shifts in these variables can differentiate a 29°C versus 31°C outcome. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,844Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 30°C for Guangzhou's August 2 high reflects numerical weather models showing typical late-summer subtropical conditions near seasonal norms, with modest spread among leading outcomes. Primary scientific factors include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar insolation and vertical mixing, versus southeasterly monsoon flow that can increase cloud cover, humidity, and convective cooling. Ensemble guidance highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification within the city, while official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration emphasize how small shifts in these variables can differentiate a 29°C versus 31°C outcome. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify the balance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,844Data zakończenia
Aug 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 30°C for Guangzhou's August 2 high reflects numerical weather models showing typical late-summer subtropical conditions near seasonal norms, with modest spread among leading outcomes. Primary scientific factors include the position and strength of the western Pacific subtropical high, which modulates solar insolation and vertical mixing, versus southeasterly monsoon flow that can increase cloud cover, humidity, and convective cooling. Ensemble guidance highlights uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and urban heat-island amplification within the city, while official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration emphasize how small shifts in these variables can differentiate a 29°C versus 31°C outcome. Updated model runs and observational data ahead of resolution will clarify the balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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