Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a cloudy August 5 in Tokyo with a projected minimum near 21°C, supporting the market's leading 23°C and 22°C outcomes at combined implied odds above 90%. Persistent regional heat and humidity patterns, with typical August overnight lows of 24–26°C, are tempered by expected cloud cover that limits radiative cooling and keeps temperatures from dropping further. Model consensus from official sources highlights stable steering patterns and moderate moisture, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 20°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance closer to the date could refine these probabilities as new observational data emerges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
Lowest temperature in Tokyo on August 5?
23°C 57%
22°C 36%
24°C 5%
21°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
36%
23°C
57%
24°C
5%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 57%
22°C 36%
24°C 5%
21°C 2%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
18°C or below
$150 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$177 Wol.
1%
20°C
$190 Wol.
1%
21°C
$122 Wol.
2%
22°C
$529 Wol.
36%
23°C
$732 Wol.
57%
24°C
$359 Wol.
5%
25°C
$331 Wol.
2%
26°C
$362 Wol.
1%
27°C
$150 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$173 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a cloudy August 5 in Tokyo with a projected minimum near 21°C, supporting the market's leading 23°C and 22°C outcomes at combined implied odds above 90%. Persistent regional heat and humidity patterns, with typical August overnight lows of 24–26°C, are tempered by expected cloud cover that limits radiative cooling and keeps temperatures from dropping further. Model consensus from official sources highlights stable steering patterns and moderate moisture, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 20°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance closer to the date could refine these probabilities as new observational data emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,276Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a cloudy August 5 in Tokyo with a projected minimum near 21°C, supporting the market's leading 23°C and 22°C outcomes at combined implied odds above 90%. Persistent regional heat and humidity patterns, with typical August overnight lows of 24–26°C, are tempered by expected cloud cover that limits radiative cooling and keeps temperatures from dropping further. Model consensus from official sources highlights stable steering patterns and moderate moisture, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 20°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance closer to the date could refine these probabilities as new observational data emerges.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,276Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts indicate a cloudy August 5 in Tokyo with a projected minimum near 21°C, supporting the market's leading 23°C and 22°C outcomes at combined implied odds above 90%. Persistent regional heat and humidity patterns, with typical August overnight lows of 24–26°C, are tempered by expected cloud cover that limits radiative cooling and keeps temperatures from dropping further. Model consensus from official sources highlights stable steering patterns and moderate moisture, reducing the likelihood of extremes below 20°C or above 24°C. Updated guidance closer to the date could refine these probabilities as new observational data emerges.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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