Official MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate southerly winds on August 4, 2026, advecting cooler Southern Ocean air and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon showers. This setup favors a maximum near 9–10 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 10 °C (52.5 %) followed by 11 °C (27.5 %). Recent model consensus shows no significant warm northerly flow or clear-sky amplification that would push readings toward seasonal averages near 13 °C. Traders are therefore pricing in the current synoptic pattern and its limited variability, with only modest probability assigned to warmer or colder outliers pending the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on August 4?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 4?
10°C 56%
11°C 27%
9°C 12%
7°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
4°C or below
<1%
5°C
<1%
6°C
<1%
7°C
4%
8°C
2%
9°C
12%
10°C
56%
11°C
27%
12°C
4%
13°C
1%
14°C or higher
1%
10°C 56%
11°C 27%
9°C 12%
7°C 4%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
4°C or below
$433 Wol.
<1%
5°C
$423 Wol.
<1%
6°C
$267 Wol.
<1%
7°C
$20 Wol.
4%
8°C
$98 Wol.
2%
9°C
$147 Wol.
12%
10°C
$207 Wol.
56%
11°C
$377 Wol.
27%
12°C
$82 Wol.
4%
13°C
$92 Wol.
1%
14°C or higher
$30 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate southerly winds on August 4, 2026, advecting cooler Southern Ocean air and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon showers. This setup favors a maximum near 9–10 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 10 °C (52.5 %) followed by 11 °C (27.5 %). Recent model consensus shows no significant warm northerly flow or clear-sky amplification that would push readings toward seasonal averages near 13 °C. Traders are therefore pricing in the current synoptic pattern and its limited variability, with only modest probability assigned to warmer or colder outliers pending the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,175Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate southerly winds on August 4, 2026, advecting cooler Southern Ocean air and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon showers. This setup favors a maximum near 9–10 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 10 °C (52.5 %) followed by 11 °C (27.5 %). Recent model consensus shows no significant warm northerly flow or clear-sky amplification that would push readings toward seasonal averages near 13 °C. Traders are therefore pricing in the current synoptic pattern and its limited variability, with only modest probability assigned to warmer or colder outliers pending the next forecast update.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,175Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:03 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official MetService forecasts for Wellington indicate southerly winds on August 4, 2026, advecting cooler Southern Ocean air and limiting daytime heating under partly cloudy skies with a chance of afternoon showers. This setup favors a maximum near 9–10 °C, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting on 10 °C (52.5 %) followed by 11 °C (27.5 %). Recent model consensus shows no significant warm northerly flow or clear-sky amplification that would push readings toward seasonal averages near 13 °C. Traders are therefore pricing in the current synoptic pattern and its limited variability, with only modest probability assigned to warmer or colder outliers pending the next forecast update.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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