Recent meteorological forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on August 5, consistent with typical August climatology moderated by coastal sea breezes, yet market-implied odds concentrate on 34–35°C. This positioning reflects model uncertainty around potential strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high, reduced marine layer influence, or localized heat advection that could push readings 2–4°C above baseline. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh ensemble spread in regional models against historical extremes that have occasionally reached 35°C under similar synoptic patterns, while lower-probability outcomes below 33°C align with stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover expected in some guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 5?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 5?
35°C 42%
34°C 30%
36°C or higher 22%
33°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
10%
34°C
30%
35°C
42%
36°C or higher
22%
35°C 42%
34°C 30%
36°C or higher 22%
33°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 5, 2026
26°C or below
$353 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$428 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$166 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$227 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$10 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$138 Wol.
1%
32°C
$129 Wol.
3%
33°C
$145 Wol.
10%
34°C
$111 Wol.
30%
35°C
$2,877 Wol.
42%
36°C or higher
$202 Wol.
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on August 5, consistent with typical August climatology moderated by coastal sea breezes, yet market-implied odds concentrate on 34–35°C. This positioning reflects model uncertainty around potential strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high, reduced marine layer influence, or localized heat advection that could push readings 2–4°C above baseline. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh ensemble spread in regional models against historical extremes that have occasionally reached 35°C under similar synoptic patterns, while lower-probability outcomes below 33°C align with stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover expected in some guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,785Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on August 5, consistent with typical August climatology moderated by coastal sea breezes, yet market-implied odds concentrate on 34–35°C. This positioning reflects model uncertainty around potential strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high, reduced marine layer influence, or localized heat advection that could push readings 2–4°C above baseline. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh ensemble spread in regional models against historical extremes that have occasionally reached 35°C under similar synoptic patterns, while lower-probability outcomes below 33°C align with stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover expected in some guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,785Data zakończenia
Aug 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Qingdao indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on August 5, consistent with typical August climatology moderated by coastal sea breezes, yet market-implied odds concentrate on 34–35°C. This positioning reflects model uncertainty around potential strengthening of the western Pacific subtropical high, reduced marine layer influence, or localized heat advection that could push readings 2–4°C above baseline. With only 48 hours until resolution, traders weigh ensemble spread in regional models against historical extremes that have occasionally reached 35°C under similar synoptic patterns, while lower-probability outcomes below 33°C align with stronger onshore flow or increased cloud cover expected in some guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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