**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 4, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C because short-range forecast models from sources such as Météo-France and ECMWF converge on this narrow band after July’s intense heatwaves.** High-pressure ridging and subsiding air have maintained mostly clear, dry conditions with light southerly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius while preventing extreme Saharan advection that drove earlier peaks near 40 °C. Ensemble spreads remain small, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible morning cloud build-up or isolated showers that could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, versus full insolation that could push readings slightly higher. Urban heat-island effects at the official Paris observation site add a consistent but limited boost. Historical climatology places early-August normals near 26 °C, so current guidance already reflects anomalous warmth that is expected to ease further by mid-month. With resolution only two days away, incremental model updates on boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing will be the decisive variables separating the closely matched 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on August 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 4?
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
34°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
26%
32°C
37%
33°C
21%
34°C
8%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 37%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
34°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
29°C or below
$195 Wol.
3%
30°C
$34 Wol.
7%
31°C
$55 Wol.
26%
32°C
$246 Wol.
37%
33°C
$59 Wol.
21%
34°C
$166 Wol.
8%
35°C
$147 Wol.
2%
36°C
$54 Wol.
1%
37°C
$48 Wol.
<1%
38°C
$81 Wol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$499 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 4, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C because short-range forecast models from sources such as Météo-France and ECMWF converge on this narrow band after July’s intense heatwaves.**
High-pressure ridging and subsiding air have maintained mostly clear, dry conditions with light southerly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius while preventing extreme Saharan advection that drove earlier peaks near 40 °C. Ensemble spreads remain small, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible morning cloud build-up or isolated showers that could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, versus full insolation that could push readings slightly higher. Urban heat-island effects at the official Paris observation site add a consistent but limited boost. Historical climatology places early-August normals near 26 °C, so current guidance already reflects anomalous warmth that is expected to ease further by mid-month. With resolution only two days away, incremental model updates on boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing will be the decisive variables separating the closely matched 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,583Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 4, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C because short-range forecast models from sources such as Météo-France and ECMWF converge on this narrow band after July’s intense heatwaves.**
High-pressure ridging and subsiding air have maintained mostly clear, dry conditions with light southerly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius while preventing extreme Saharan advection that drove earlier peaks near 40 °C. Ensemble spreads remain small, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible morning cloud build-up or isolated showers that could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, versus full insolation that could push readings slightly higher. Urban heat-island effects at the official Paris observation site add a consistent but limited boost. Historical climatology places early-August normals near 26 °C, so current guidance already reflects anomalous warmth that is expected to ease further by mid-month. With resolution only two days away, incremental model updates on boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing will be the decisive variables separating the closely matched 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,583Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 2, 2026, 12:02 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Paris on August 4, 2026, centers on 31–33 °C because short-range forecast models from sources such as Météo-France and ECMWF converge on this narrow band after July’s intense heatwaves.** High-pressure ridging and subsiding air have maintained mostly clear, dry conditions with light southerly flow, allowing daytime heating to reach the low-to-mid 30s Celsius while preventing extreme Saharan advection that drove earlier peaks near 40 °C. Ensemble spreads remain small, reflecting modest uncertainty from possible morning cloud build-up or isolated showers that could shave 1–2 °C off the maximum, versus full insolation that could push readings slightly higher. Urban heat-island effects at the official Paris observation site add a consistent but limited boost. Historical climatology places early-August normals near 26 °C, so current guidance already reflects anomalous warmth that is expected to ease further by mid-month. With resolution only two days away, incremental model updates on boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing will be the decisive variables separating the closely matched 31 °C, 32 °C, and 33 °C outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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