Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and rainfall, is the main driver keeping Lucknow’s peak temperatures moderate on August 26. India Meteorological Department and other forecasts consistently project a maximum of 31–33°C under these conditions, with high humidity and limited sunshine suppressing daytime heating. Historical late-August norms in the region show similar suppression below pre-monsoon peaks, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (39%) and 31°C (28.5%). Updated model runs and any shifts in storm tracks or rainfall intensity over the next 24 hours could adjust these implied probabilities within the narrow 30–34°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 26?
32°C 39%
31°C 29%
33°C 19%
30°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
9%
31°C
29%
32°C
39%
33°C
19%
34°C
7%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 39%
31°C 29%
33°C 19%
30°C 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 26, 2026
26°C or below
$3 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$3 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$48 Wol.
1%
29°C
$80 Wol.
2%
30°C
$173 Wol.
9%
31°C
$181 Wol.
29%
32°C
$405 Wol.
39%
33°C
$105 Wol.
19%
34°C
$95 Wol.
7%
35°C
$199 Wol.
2%
36°C or higher
$184 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and rainfall, is the main driver keeping Lucknow’s peak temperatures moderate on August 26. India Meteorological Department and other forecasts consistently project a maximum of 31–33°C under these conditions, with high humidity and limited sunshine suppressing daytime heating. Historical late-August norms in the region show similar suppression below pre-monsoon peaks, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (39%) and 31°C (28.5%). Updated model runs and any shifts in storm tracks or rainfall intensity over the next 24 hours could adjust these implied probabilities within the narrow 30–34°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,476Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and rainfall, is the main driver keeping Lucknow’s peak temperatures moderate on August 26. India Meteorological Department and other forecasts consistently project a maximum of 31–33°C under these conditions, with high humidity and limited sunshine suppressing daytime heating. Historical late-August norms in the region show similar suppression below pre-monsoon peaks, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (39%) and 31°C (28.5%). Updated model runs and any shifts in storm tracks or rainfall intensity over the next 24 hours could adjust these implied probabilities within the narrow 30–34°C band.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,476Data zakończenia
Aug 26, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity across Uttar Pradesh, including widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and rainfall, is the main driver keeping Lucknow’s peak temperatures moderate on August 26. India Meteorological Department and other forecasts consistently project a maximum of 31–33°C under these conditions, with high humidity and limited sunshine suppressing daytime heating. Historical late-August norms in the region show similar suppression below pre-monsoon peaks, aligning trader sentiment with the market’s heaviest weighting on 32°C (39%) and 31°C (28.5%). Updated model runs and any shifts in storm tracks or rainfall intensity over the next 24 hours could adjust these implied probabilities within the narrow 30–34°C band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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