The tight market pricing across dozens of candidates for the upcoming Vaimauga 3 by-election reflects deep uncertainty following the June 2026 Electoral Court ruling that disqualified the May winner Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai and runner-up Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu over corrupt practices, reopening the seat. Multiple independents and party-affiliated contenders, including Puaʻalatamai Filemoni and others, are competing on local priorities such as infrastructure, water supply, roads, and cost-of-living pressures in the constituency's villages, while party-hopping rules and the risk of further legal challenges add volatility. Traders see no dominant frontrunner, with the fragmented field and absence of recent polling keeping implied probabilities evenly dispersed until clearer signals emerge from campaigning or endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ 44%
ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア 43%
プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ 43%
スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ 43%
ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ
44%
ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア
43%
プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ
43%
スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ
43%
ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ 44%
ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア 43%
プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ 43%
スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ 43%
ヴァイオフアイウポル・クリス・ファアオフォ
44%
ノヌ・レマウガ・ラウル・ウィリアム・マウイア
43%
プアアラタマイ・トゥプオラ・マラエウル・フィレモニ
43%
スイアロ・レミガオイタマリイ・スイアロ
43%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
マーケット開始日： Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.
If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
リゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The tight market pricing across dozens of candidates for the upcoming Vaimauga 3 by-election reflects deep uncertainty following the June 2026 Electoral Court ruling that disqualified the May winner Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai and runner-up Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu over corrupt practices, reopening the seat. Multiple independents and party-affiliated contenders, including Puaʻalatamai Filemoni and others, are competing on local priorities such as infrastructure, water supply, roads, and cost-of-living pressures in the constituency's villages, while party-hopping rules and the risk of further legal challenges add volatility. Traders see no dominant frontrunner, with the fragmented field and absence of recent polling keeping implied probabilities evenly dispersed until clearer signals emerge from campaigning or endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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