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icon for Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者
世界·サモア

Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者

icon for Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者
世界·サモア

Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者

トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ 97%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 26%

セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ 25%

シア・ファアレトヌ・アレック・ラトゥ 25%

Polymarket
新規

トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ 97%

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen 26%

セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ 25%

シア・ファアレトヌ・アレック・ラトゥ 25%

Polymarket
新規
icon for トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ

トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ

$0 Vol.

97%

icon for Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ

セウマファレウポル・アペリラ・ヴァア・ティアイ

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for シア・ファアレトヌ・アレック・ラトゥ

シア・ファアレトヌ・アレック・ラトゥ

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ

タヴェウヴェウ・ウィリー・トゥアタガロア・フェトゥ

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ

アウセウガレレイ・ウイティ・ラガヴァレ

$0 Vol.

23%

icon for パテア・タヴェウヴェウ・タアマレトア・アイポヴィ・パテア

パテア・タヴェウヴェウ・タアマレトア・アイポヴィ・パテア

$0 Vol.

23%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No. 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court's March 2026 ruling, upheld on appeal, that voided FAST Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo's 2025 general election win on bribery grounds following a petition by HRPP candidate Tuiloma Tusa Laniselota Lameko. Both are barred from contesting under electoral law, leaving a wide field of candidates including independents and representatives from FAST, HRPP, and smaller groups. With no dominant frontrunner identified and all listed outcomes priced equally at market consensus levels, trader sentiment reflects the open nature of the multi-candidate contest in a constituency where local village networks, party endorsements, and turnout dynamics typically decide close races. Scheduled writ issuance and formal nominations remain key upcoming milestones that could consolidate support behind particular contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/09/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The Falealili No. 1 by-election in Samoa stems from the Electoral Court's March 2026 ruling, upheld on appeal, that voided FAST Deputy Prime Minister Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo's 2025 general election win on bribery grounds following a petition by HRPP candidate Tuiloma Tusa Laniselota Lameko. Both are barred from contesting under electoral law, leaving a wide field of candidates including independents and representatives from FAST, HRPP, and smaller groups. With no dominant frontrunner identified and all listed outcomes priced equally at market consensus levels, trader sentiment reflects the open nature of the multi-candidate contest in a constituency where local village networks, party endorsements, and turnout dynamics typically decide close races. Scheduled writ issuance and formal nominations remain key upcoming milestones that could consolidate support behind particular contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/09/18
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:59 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Falealili 1 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. The seat became vacant after the election of MP Toelupe Poumulinuku Onesemo was voided by the Court of Appeal on June 29, 2026, following his conviction for election bribery. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Falealili 1 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

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よくある質問

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の7個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ」で49%、次いで「Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen」が26%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、49¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に49%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 31, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている7個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「トゥイロマ・トゥサ・シイリリ・ラニセロタ・ラメコ」で49%であり、市場がこの結果に49%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Fuaolemoli Falaila Faausu Allen」で26%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Falealili 1補欠選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。