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icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
世界·カナダ

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
世界·カナダ

Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Isabelle Blais 47%

Simon Allaire 45%

Nancy Mignault 25%

Marc-André Cloutier 25%

Polymarket
新規

Isabelle Blais 47%

Simon Allaire 45%

Nancy Mignault 25%

Marc-André Cloutier 25%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Isabelle Blais

Isabelle Blais

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Simon Allaire

Simon Allaire

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Nancy Mignault

Nancy Mignault

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Marc-André Cloutier

Marc-André Cloutier

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Simon Piotte

Simon Piotte

$0 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Maskinongé race reflects the August 27 launch of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign, pitting incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire—who reversed an earlier retirement decision—against PQ candidate Isabelle Blais, a high-profile actress who secured her nomination with 63% support in April. Recent projections from sources like Qc125 show the CAQ holding a modest lead on 2022 results of 53.5%, yet trader pricing around 50-51% for the top two underscores vote-splitting risks from PLQ’s Nancy Mignault, QS’s Simon Piotte, PCQ’s Marc-André Cloutier, and an independent. Key separation factors include upcoming local debates, regional Mauricie economic concerns, provincial party momentum under new CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette, and any shifts in early voting turnout between September 27-28.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The closely contested Maskinongé race reflects the August 27 launch of the October 5 Quebec general election campaign, pitting incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire—who reversed an earlier retirement decision—against PQ candidate Isabelle Blais, a high-profile actress who secured her nomination with 63% support in April. Recent projections from sources like Qc125 show the CAQ holding a modest lead on 2022 results of 53.5%, yet trader pricing around 50-51% for the top two underscores vote-splitting risks from PLQ’s Nancy Mignault, QS’s Simon Piotte, PCQ’s Marc-André Cloutier, and an independent. Key separation factors include upcoming local debates, regional Mauricie economic concerns, provincial party momentum under new CAQ Premier Christine Fréchette, and any shifts in early voting turnout between September 27-28.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

結算ソース

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner」はPolymarket上の5個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Isabelle Blais」で47%、次いで「Simon Allaire」が46%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、47¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に47%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Aug 31, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている5個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Isabelle Blais」で47%であり、市場がこの結果に47%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Simon Allaire」で46%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly Election Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。