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icon for ケベック州ボーハルノワ国民議会選挙の勝者

ケベック州ボーハルノワ国民議会選挙の勝者

icon for ケベック州ボーハルノワ国民議会選挙の勝者

ケベック州ボーハルノワ国民議会選挙の勝者

Claude Reid 84%

Alexandre Daneau 43%

Angélika Homère 26%

Charles Royer Tremblay 24%

Polymarket
新規

Claude Reid 84%

Alexandre Daneau 43%

Angélika Homère 26%

Charles Royer Tremblay 24%

Polymarket
新規
icon for Claude Reid

Claude Reid

$0 Vol.

84%

icon for Alexandre Daneau

Alexandre Daneau

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Angélika Homère

Angélika Homère

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Charles Royer Tremblay

Charles Royer Tremblay

$0 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Beauharnois riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader odds remain tightly clustered among several candidates because no single contender has established a decisive local advantage.** The incumbent Claude Reid of the Coalition Avenir Québec faces a competitive field that includes Charles Royer Tremblay for the Parti libéral du Québec, Alexandre Daneau for the Parti Québécois, and Angélika Homère for the Parti conservateur du Québec. All four parties maintain organized campaigns with candidates confirmed by late August, and the broader provincial contest shows volatile support among the CAQ, PQ, PLQ, and PCQ. Local dynamics reinforce the balance: the riding’s mix of suburban and regional voters, combined with the absence of recent riding-specific polling, leaves room for shifts driven by turnout, preference flows among francophone voters, and any late campaign focus on economic or sovereignty issues. The market’s near-even pricing across listed names and “Other” reflects this fragmentation and the limited time remaining for differentiation before ballots are cast. Further candidate debates, party leader visits, or riding-level surveys within the next few weeks could begin to separate the probabilities by clarifying voter preferences among the main options.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**In the Beauharnois riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader odds remain tightly clustered among several candidates because no single contender has established a decisive local advantage.** The incumbent Claude Reid of the Coalition Avenir Québec faces a competitive field that includes Charles Royer Tremblay for the Parti libéral du Québec, Alexandre Daneau for the Parti Québécois, and Angélika Homère for the Parti conservateur du Québec. All four parties maintain organized campaigns with candidates confirmed by late August, and the broader provincial contest shows volatile support among the CAQ, PQ, PLQ, and PCQ. Local dynamics reinforce the balance: the riding’s mix of suburban and regional voters, combined with the absence of recent riding-specific polling, leaves room for shifts driven by turnout, preference flows among francophone voters, and any late campaign focus on economic or sovereignty issues. The market’s near-even pricing across listed names and “Other” reflects this fragmentation and the limited time remaining for differentiation before ballots are cast. Further candidate debates, party leader visits, or riding-level surveys within the next few weeks could begin to separate the probabilities by clarifying voter preferences among the main options.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
音量
$0
終了日
2026/10/05
マーケット開始日
Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「ケベック州ボーハルノワ国民議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Alexandre Daneau」で43%、次いで「Claude Reid」が42%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、43¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に43%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「ケベック州ボーハルノワ国民議会選挙の勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です(Aug 31, 2026開始)。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「ケベック州ボーハルノワ国民議会選挙の勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「ケベック州ボーハルノワ国民議会選挙の勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「Alexandre Daneau」で43%であり、市場がこの結果に43%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Claude Reid」で42%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「ケベック州ボーハルノワ国民議会選挙の勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。