**In the Beauharnois riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader odds remain tightly clustered among several candidates because no single contender has established a decisive local advantage.** The incumbent Claude Reid of the Coalition Avenir Québec faces a competitive field that includes Charles Royer Tremblay for the Parti libéral du Québec, Alexandre Daneau for the Parti Québécois, and Angélika Homère for the Parti conservateur du Québec. All four parties maintain organized campaigns with candidates confirmed by late August, and the broader provincial contest shows volatile support among the CAQ, PQ, PLQ, and PCQ. Local dynamics reinforce the balance: the riding’s mix of suburban and regional voters, combined with the absence of recent riding-specific polling, leaves room for shifts driven by turnout, preference flows among francophone voters, and any late campaign focus on economic or sovereignty issues. The market’s near-even pricing across listed names and “Other” reflects this fragmentation and the limited time remaining for differentiation before ballots are cast. Further candidate debates, party leader visits, or riding-level surveys within the next few weeks could begin to separate the probabilities by clarifying voter preferences among the main options.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Claude Reid 84%
Alexandre Daneau 43%
Angélika Homère 26%
Charles Royer Tremblay 24%

Claude Reid
84%

Alexandre Daneau
43%

Angélika Homère
26%

Charles Royer Tremblay
24%
Claude Reid 84%
Alexandre Daneau 43%
Angélika Homère 26%
Charles Royer Tremblay 24%

Claude Reid
84%

Alexandre Daneau
43%

Angélika Homère
26%

Charles Royer Tremblay
24%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
マーケット開始日: Aug 31, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
**In the Beauharnois riding for Quebec’s October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader odds remain tightly clustered among several candidates because no single contender has established a decisive local advantage.** The incumbent Claude Reid of the Coalition Avenir Québec faces a competitive field that includes Charles Royer Tremblay for the Parti libéral du Québec, Alexandre Daneau for the Parti Québécois, and Angélika Homère for the Parti conservateur du Québec. All four parties maintain organized campaigns with candidates confirmed by late August, and the broader provincial contest shows volatile support among the CAQ, PQ, PLQ, and PCQ. Local dynamics reinforce the balance: the riding’s mix of suburban and regional voters, combined with the absence of recent riding-specific polling, leaves room for shifts driven by turnout, preference flows among francophone voters, and any late campaign focus on economic or sovereignty issues. The market’s near-even pricing across listed names and “Other” reflects this fragmentation and the limited time remaining for differentiation before ballots are cast. Further candidate debates, party leader visits, or riding-level surveys within the next few weeks could begin to separate the probabilities by clarifying voter preferences among the main options.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日



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