The Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in recent Quebec polling aggregates and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and gains from multiple by-elections since 2022, positioning it as the consensus favorite to win the most seats in the National Assembly. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys through regional strength outside Montreal, though it trails significantly after years of declining popularity. The PLQ under Charles Milliard has lost ground amid leadership transitions, while smaller parties like the PCQ and QS remain marginal in most projections. High levels of undecided voters and tight PQ-CAQ contests in key ridings introduce uncertainty that could still shift outcomes before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日PQ 72%
CAQ 26%
PLQ 3.0%
PCQ <1%
$887,509 Vol.
$887,509 Vol.
2026/10/04
PQ
72%
CAQ
26%
PLQ
3%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
QS
<1%
PQ 72%
CAQ 26%
PLQ 3.0%
PCQ <1%
$887,509 Vol.
$887,509 Vol.
2026/10/04
PQ
$117,699 Vol.
72%
CAQ
$136,328 Vol.
26%
PLQ
$123,484 Vol.
3%
PCQ
$245,954 Vol.
<1%
PVQ
$157,522 Vol.
<1%
QS
$106,523 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in recent Quebec polling aggregates and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and gains from multiple by-elections since 2022, positioning it as the consensus favorite to win the most seats in the National Assembly. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys through regional strength outside Montreal, though it trails significantly after years of declining popularity. The PLQ under Charles Milliard has lost ground amid leadership transitions, while smaller parties like the PCQ and QS remain marginal in most projections. High levels of undecided voters and tight PQ-CAQ contests in key ridings introduce uncertainty that could still shift outcomes before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
マーケット開始日： Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
音量
$887,509終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).The Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in recent Quebec polling aggregates and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and gains from multiple by-elections since 2022, positioning it as the consensus favorite to win the most seats in the National Assembly. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys through regional strength outside Montreal, though it trails significantly after years of declining popularity. The PLQ under Charles Milliard has lost ground amid leadership transitions, while smaller parties like the PCQ and QS remain marginal in most projections. High levels of undecided voters and tight PQ-CAQ contests in key ridings introduce uncertainty that could still shift outcomes before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
音量
$887,509終了日
2026/10/05マーケット開始日
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETリゾルバー
0x2F5e3684c...The Parti Québécois holds a clear lead in recent Quebec polling aggregates and seat projections ahead of the October 5 election, driven by strong francophone support and gains from multiple by-elections since 2022, positioning it as the consensus favorite to win the most seats in the National Assembly. The CAQ under new Premier Christine Fréchette has narrowed the gap in late-August surveys through regional strength outside Montreal, though it trails significantly after years of declining popularity. The PLQ under Charles Milliard has lost ground amid leadership transitions, while smaller parties like the PCQ and QS remain marginal in most projections. High levels of undecided voters and tight PQ-CAQ contests in key ridings introduce uncertainty that could still shift outcomes before election day.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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