The tightly managed character of Russia's electoral system drives the 91% market price on LDPR winning fewer than 45 of 450 State Duma seats. United Russia and the presidential administration control candidate registration, media access, single-member district outcomes, and overall seat allocation among systemic parties, keeping LDPR near its current 21–22 seats despite polls showing 9–14% support. LDPR's post-Zhirinovsky transition under Leonid Slutsky, regional leadership disruptions, and competition with CPRF and New People for nationalist and protest voters further constrain its position. The party’s June 2026 congress set a doubling target through social and regional messaging, yet traders assign low probability to meaningful gains absent a deliberate Kremlin decision to elevate it. Late adjustments in administrative priorities or turnout patterns in the September 18–20 vote remain the main variables that could push results above 45 seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日45未満 91%
45〜54 4.0%
65～74 3.1%
55～64 3.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
45未満
91%
45〜54
4%
55～64
3%
65～74
3%
75–84
2%
85～94
2%
95以上
2%
45未満 91%
45〜54 4.0%
65～74 3.1%
55～64 3.0%
新規
新規
2026/09/20
45未満
$1,294 Vol.
91%
45〜54
$183 Vol.
4%
55～64
$138 Vol.
3%
65～74
$158 Vol.
3%
75–84
$117 Vol.
2%
85～94
$292 Vol.
2%
95以上
$295 Vol.
2%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The tightly managed character of Russia's electoral system drives the 91% market price on LDPR winning fewer than 45 of 450 State Duma seats. United Russia and the presidential administration control candidate registration, media access, single-member district outcomes, and overall seat allocation among systemic parties, keeping LDPR near its current 21–22 seats despite polls showing 9–14% support. LDPR's post-Zhirinovsky transition under Leonid Slutsky, regional leadership disruptions, and competition with CPRF and New People for nationalist and protest voters further constrain its position. The party’s June 2026 congress set a doubling target through social and regional messaging, yet traders assign low probability to meaningful gains absent a deliberate Kremlin decision to elevate it. Late adjustments in administrative priorities or turnout patterns in the September 18–20 vote remain the main variables that could push results above 45 seats.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
マーケット開始日： Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
音量
$2,477終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.The tightly managed character of Russia's electoral system drives the 91% market price on LDPR winning fewer than 45 of 450 State Duma seats. United Russia and the presidential administration control candidate registration, media access, single-member district outcomes, and overall seat allocation among systemic parties, keeping LDPR near its current 21–22 seats despite polls showing 9–14% support. LDPR's post-Zhirinovsky transition under Leonid Slutsky, regional leadership disruptions, and competition with CPRF and New People for nationalist and protest voters further constrain its position. The party’s June 2026 congress set a doubling target through social and regional messaging, yet traders assign low probability to meaningful gains absent a deliberate Kremlin decision to elevate it. Late adjustments in administrative priorities or turnout patterns in the September 18–20 vote remain the main variables that could push results above 45 seats.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
音量
$2,477終了日
2026/09/20マーケット開始日
Sep 1, 2026, 8:53 PM ETリゾルバー
0x69c47De9D...The tightly managed character of Russia's electoral system drives the 91% market price on LDPR winning fewer than 45 of 450 State Duma seats. United Russia and the presidential administration control candidate registration, media access, single-member district outcomes, and overall seat allocation among systemic parties, keeping LDPR near its current 21–22 seats despite polls showing 9–14% support. LDPR's post-Zhirinovsky transition under Leonid Slutsky, regional leadership disruptions, and competition with CPRF and New People for nationalist and protest voters further constrain its position. The party’s June 2026 congress set a doubling target through social and regional messaging, yet traders assign low probability to meaningful gains absent a deliberate Kremlin decision to elevate it. Late adjustments in administrative priorities or turnout patterns in the September 18–20 vote remain the main variables that could push results above 45 seats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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